TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9441…98babacked Yes21c9,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…5723backed Yes20c7,900$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9650%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No80c7,200$5,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4691,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No80c5,245$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.0270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c3,816$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.891,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c2,710$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.092,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Yes19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No80c2,070$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.381,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9914860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16a8…e652backed Yes15c1,804$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.664261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No80c1,306$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.383,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2105356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…bce3backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6b…1cdabacked Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No80c871$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.28652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No80c841$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.216357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No80c780$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No79c732.67$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8614553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No80c700$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14022242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c686.45$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes18c645.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.164738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes21c608.05$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.699219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes18c570$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.67714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…b048backed Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3e…fde0backed Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No80c371.41$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2811558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c362.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No80c316.86$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.375962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…25a8backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No78c251.19$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014049.3%69 W · 71 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504020%8 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b37…0eb2backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034955.3%193 W · 156 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…c723backed Yes19c194.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No78c190.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.132,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes18c188.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8229813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7815…fb62backed Yes20c175.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc81…3f87backed Yes23c167.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.589051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes19c167$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.735651.8%29 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd25…4042backed Yes21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Yes21c164.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.596136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb35…88b9backed Yes19c160$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c2…9389backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405819%11 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ee…c5c9backed Yes19c136.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510329.1%30 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x774e…9bcfbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256714.9%10 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.113251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7647…9f44backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252544%11 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254533.3%15 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No79c112.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8937971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e0…c16bbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…5cb6backed Yes19c100.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.033354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1828148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf832…ce36backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f25…d5debacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d0…d9b0backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd2…2b73backed Yes20c83.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78135.8%29 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…bf0dbacked Yes19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…05b8backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152528%7 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d9…7875backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153813.2%5 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No79c74.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…d849backed Yes19c73.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.258027.5%22 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+79.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes19c69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.116333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…e93fbacked Yes21c61.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Yes21c57.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes19c56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.647610.5%8 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a3…f232backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.311,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…0797backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105052%26 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed5d…e433backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dd…fb30backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb051…cecabacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e3…b17fbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed No80c39.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.843560%21 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked No80c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No80c21.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4117760.5%107 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bd…1d3cbacked No80c21.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2510658.5%62 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.134761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1f…3400backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.513100%13 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.