Fifa International · resolved market
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69824e0b17c3271ac9b15095276390a832e5549cd08789bc619fe403448e6cfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa97d…3874backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 0c | 5,555$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,992$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 1,689$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.13 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…23a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,622$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…bce3backed Yes | 14c | 1,426$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes | 14c | 979.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 898.67$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0e…26afbacked Yes | 2c | 657.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 16c | 626$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 15c | 559.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…b042backed Yes | 24c | 429.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked No | 76c | 338.17$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 31c | 304.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 213.14$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 15c | 177.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 19c | 155.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 16c | 154.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…fd15backed Yes | 33c | 150.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…4526backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…11debacked Yes | 32c | 146.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 137.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…b7a9backed Yes | 15c | 136.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 15c | 125.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…c55ebacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…944bbacked Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd203…b0a2backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…4042backed Yes | 25c | 104.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…5516backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 80c | 93.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…a3a5backed Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 53.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 78c | 30.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed No | 76c | 27.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 77c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
- Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
- David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 5+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.