TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec1…3f7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.25
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.28
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$233.89
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$218.89
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$72.54
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.72
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.78
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.87
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+98%+$343.88
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$626.52
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$214.52
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$184.59
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$624.5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$488.2
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+82%+$1,650.53
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$436.02
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$133.57
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.77
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$243.76
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$354.83
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$271.33
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45.87
Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.2
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.76
FC Twente '65 vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Rosenborg BK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)backed Adelaide United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$45.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$130.49
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$62.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Montréal vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.