TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe87…6fc0backed No73c27,362$19,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,853.334856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2009058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed No66c7,596$5,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.441566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes78c6,444$5,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.9160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.941,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c4,555$3,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.861,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c4,103$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.34,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No50c3,038$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.0721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1602040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No47c2,562$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.1218956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c2,420$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.5692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c2,222$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.6222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.937561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes21c1,998$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.052540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9172…af2fbacked Yes6c1,711$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.72825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+305.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c1,665$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.2658548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes44c1,219$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.635248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No59c1,028$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.379931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes5c1,000$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95010022%22 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No72c913.75$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.714959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c904.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.5419840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes32c887.87$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.154841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c3…58f2backed Yes15c859.57$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+172.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No61c819.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.192365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No71c816.45$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.687667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes20c633.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.944440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes20c621.87$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1210418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes29c586.89$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes18c584.1$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes34c564.94$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8623957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes18c532.84$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7714549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes18c531.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3523727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes38c504.76$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.952828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Yes29c495.21$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes10c477.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.456437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes4c471.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+140.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No17c447.44$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No20c432.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9226641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes23c407.41$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.334537.8%17 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes42c402.17$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.262729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3163033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd884…a940backed Yes50c390.31$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Yes25c382$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c380$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes34c372.93$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c361.95$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2261557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes29c359.63$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3314250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes39c345.84$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9610245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes28c341.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes29c335.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.913218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Yes17c334.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.628643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c322.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes17c276.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.813737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes17c275.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.653729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes60c274.58$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.389557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes17c268.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.993839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes4c264.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1520241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes20c239.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.556926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes70c236.05$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.136764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c226.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Yes20c220.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+402.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c200.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0263757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1406…a53cbacked Yes26c196.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+285%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes39c194.73$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0516348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c192.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.17838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes25c191$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.254544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes18c187.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8417326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes29c186.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.552343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes15c183.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3117128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x586f…b5e3backed Yes25c182.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes36c176.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.217455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f61…f56fbacked Yes28c157.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.591080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+113%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa8…ebb4backed Yes29c156.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes34c155.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No46c151.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2644324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes26c147.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8922553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd12…2a63backed Yes53c146.19$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes29c142.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8120630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c142.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3575051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448a…e87dbacked Yes17c140.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.62933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+81.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Yes21c138.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.46837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad9…77c2backed Yes72c135.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes29c132.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…f324backed Yes29c128.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2d…ac34backed Yes15c125.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+560.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes24c117.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.342055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes31c113.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9823843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c110.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.793,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc451…dd5bbacked Yes29c108.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b3…f8d4backed No62c106.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75b…4042backed Yes23c105.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+317.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes40c104.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6710556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes17c101.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.222147.6%10 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick26cpaid+81.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716051.7%31 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No71c99.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9917759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed Yes39c98.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.271060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.