TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75ab…b20e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT13440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfibacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$52.78
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.61
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42%+$33.59
Foggia: Lucia Bronzetti vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevicbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$31.17
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.18
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.13
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+214.9%+$576.03
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$87.85
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$256.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+384.8%+$769.59
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$488.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$345.38
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$103.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,401.45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.95
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$286.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$225.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.