Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4894abfa02e87910ba5d6cf736bc97373a5062e3489076b3b964647b47b57f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 73c | 55,263$40,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,920.94 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 77c | 29,087$22,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,667.09 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 27c | 27,778$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Yes | 27c | 25,042$6,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 20,869$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.29 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 26c | 19,824$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.31 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 19,063$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,827.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 26c | 11,538$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 10,527$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.7 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 9,833$7,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.89 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…59e5backed Yes | 54c | 9,482$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 8,530$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.84 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 8,390$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 24c | 8,155$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.31 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 46c | 6,869$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.36 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 15c | 6,425$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 74c | 6,078$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 5,214$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.68 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 4,995$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.92 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 49c | 4,695$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.92 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 4,693$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.19 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,588$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.83 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 4,209$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.93 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked No | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 4,019$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.15 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 26c | 3,462$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 3,133$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.84 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 3,005$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,875$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.38 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Yes | 27c | 2,758$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 9c | 2,528$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 26c | 1,800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 1,761$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 22c | 1,623$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,616$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Yes | 27c | 1,509$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 51c | 1,507$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.46 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 1,457$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 1,418$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.81 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 1,369$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…10d1backed Yes | 20c | 1,354$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Yes | 23c | 1,329$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 1,314$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 74c | 1,197$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 74c | 1,138$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.7 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 24c | 1,087$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 16c | 1,029$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 1,013$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 78c | 945.22$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 11c | 897.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 884.02$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…a7c7backed Yes | 45c | 866.13$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…e4dabacked Yes | 15c | 864.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 854.11$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.38 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 75c | 814$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 13c | 805.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 26c | 777.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…924ebacked Yes | 40c | 756.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 14c | 718.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…6908backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 27c | 681.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 5c | 652.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 4c | 650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 75c | 641.08$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes | 16c | 631.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 10c | 618.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Yes | 22c | 596.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Yes | 14c | 594.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed Yes | 24c | 586.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 12c | 560$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 47c | 558.16$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 74c | 557$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 19c | 529.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 512.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes | 12c | 501.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 477.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 13c | 475.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…5660backed Yes | 19c | 473.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 468.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…b510backed Yes | 17c | 462.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.