TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x330f…d4b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Commodities, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Commodities at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 0 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.03
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$451
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.69
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.44
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$722
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$622.83
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.05
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,659.18
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 2 Nottingham Forest FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$10,800
Nottingham Forest FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+372.2%+$4,369.07
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,318.59
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,957.31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 1 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$293
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.97
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$72.11
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,071.8
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$875
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,381.81
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.89
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 3 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$4,834.29
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,641.16
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.8
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
South Africa leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.88
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,980
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,590.14
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.