Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a8d763d9b4da7cb84a66e40f215bd9ab642bd27474f7afeac821a696952ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 34,489$23,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,058.19 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 33c | 30,743$10,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,145.1 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 67c | 26,372$17,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,702.82 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 15,336$11,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.88 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…2f4abacked Yes | 22c | 13,658$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…bc23backed No | 78c | 10,138$7,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 22c | 9,622$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.91 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes | 38c | 9,351$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 8,980$6,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.84 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 8,347$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.92 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 8,062$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,661$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 62c | 7,217$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.59 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 25c | 6,275$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.79 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 80c | 6,156$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.65 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 5,783$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.91 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 14c | 4,439$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 4,410$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.34 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 4,165$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.08 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 78c | 3,965$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 3,565$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.39 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,536$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.74 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked No | 16c | 3,500$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 3,344$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.01 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 78c | 2,541$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.05 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…5a2abacked No | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 52c | 2,311$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.93 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 55c | 2,102$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Yes | 32c | 1,941$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 22c | 1,885$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.6 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 78c | 1,587$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.81 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 7c | 1,455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…b50fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…ad96backed Yes | 3c | 1,292$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Yes | 26c | 1,235$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 1,200$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.58 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,168$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.81 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 14c | 1,101$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.79 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.61 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed Yes | 49c | 1,005$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db8…c197backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed No | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 21c | 983$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 10c | 982.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 969.64$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Yes | 23c | 956.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 42c | 951.01$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 53c | 868.01$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.65 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…2c10backed Yes | 23c | 858.39$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…5dcfbacked Yes | 22c | 857.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…9b48backed Yes | 61c | 823.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 750$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…8b79backed Yes | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 17c | 730.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.3 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 22c | 727.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 727.17$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…7738backed Yes | 29c | 706.64$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 22c | 694.09$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 39c | 686.05$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.63 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 647.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 47c | 617.13$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 612.12$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 9c | 599.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes | 39c | 584.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 72c | 572.86$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…5ce2backed Yes | 5c | 568.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 531.25$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 23c | 523$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 25c | 512$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 508$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…5dccbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 10c | 499.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 11c | 499.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 489.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 488.01$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 65c | 484.16$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.78 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 70c | 461.19$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.