TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x900e…a4d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8345.8%38 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.75
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.31
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$42.23
Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.87
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will the announcers say "Soccer" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$813.75
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$22.32
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.79
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the announcers say "Energy" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.46
Will the announcers say "Set Piece" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.63
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.71
Will the announcers say "Croatia" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$29.52
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$31.9
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.5
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.05
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$16.65
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$11.65
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+55%+$21.3
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of March 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$44.39
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$62.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$8.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$102.9
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$42.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+54.9%+$19.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20.25
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Melania say "Law" or "Order" during statement on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.5
Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20.8
Will Trump say "Good Friend of Mine" or "Friend of Mine" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$134.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+46%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.8
LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$40.8
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.2
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.06
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.2
Will T1 Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$232
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$11.75
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.04
Prince Andrew released by February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 100 and 129 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.99
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$50.6
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25.1%+$5.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$34.8
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.65
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.15
All 4 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$72.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$742.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$730.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$76.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.