TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,733,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,078,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,733,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,967 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes37c233,432$86,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,876.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes38c110,210$42,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,321.361533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0460…8d22backed Yes47c85,969$40,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,649.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c81,843$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.94911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-81.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes42c74,979$31,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,312.211118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…b8f1backed Yes16c60,162$9,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,559.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ff…e0cfbacked Yes53c57,811$30,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,836.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes19c50,000$9,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,480.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes24c42,641$10,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,106.353737.8%14 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes1c38,526$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.54520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes13c35,376$4,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.642714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c30,660$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6170%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes11c30,000$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.231435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x409f…543abacked Yes0c28,278$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes10c24,912$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes44c21,284$9,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,467.71185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No58c20,618$12,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,594.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfc5…c7cfbacked Yes22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes51c18,700$9,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,618.2125648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No52c18,631$9,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,001.711435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes38c18,553$7,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,069.672240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes35c16,307$5,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,640.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes37c16,079$5,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,891.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes4c14,969$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6221241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Yes38c14,722$5,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,635.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes65c14,565$9,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,476.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes16c14,256$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.591752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5128…13d9backed Yes36c13,889$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes26c13,819$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.41717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes46c12,181$5,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,626.085040%20 W · 30 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes14c11,874$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes41c11,575$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.262138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes36c11,036$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,962.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f17…519ebacked Yes46c10,720$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,92010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes33c10,287$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.963860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes69c10,000$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcf…3c91backed Yes0c9,927$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes20c9,564$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.947936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e48…95c7backed No77c9,434$7,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f7…d1fdbacked Yes25c9,095$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes12c8,865$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.05425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c8,814$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5344039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes47c8,758$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.841225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…b241backed Yes4c8,635$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77a…2f08backed No53c8,600$4,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4b…827cbacked Yes47c8,600$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,04210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd600…b66ebacked Yes8c8,529$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50f…2b9abacked Yes31c7,545$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe858…d279backed Yes4c7,427$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes14c7,404$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.58246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76da…f84dbacked Yes4c7,282$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0bf…2032backed Yes21c7,085$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes41c7,060$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes5c7,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x603c…ac70backed Yes30c6,694$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2231…d631backed Yes2c6,442$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes39c6,336$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.356035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3525…b0c1backed Yes3c6,008$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa6…48bcbacked Yes9c6,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c5,488$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes27c5,464$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.4913728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes22c5,379$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.2950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6973…6db6backed Yes30c5,289$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes2c5,212$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…82a1backed Yes4c5,161$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes2c4,977$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes36c4,856$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.0424145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c0…ffaabacked Yes19c4,840$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.23333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-56.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes1c4,779$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.857936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes0c4,682$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes4c4,532$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes1c4,532$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes42c4,438$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a89…fcedbacked Yes45c4,360$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.53520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes29c4,304$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes39c4,187$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.314934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked Yes69c4,144$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes35c4,032$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.83633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf8…b8eabacked Yes42c4,000$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654b…35e6backed No62c3,956$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes5c3,711$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.385230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes2c3,675$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba1…d64fbacked Yes31c3,669$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x926c…9f2ebacked Yes37c3,540$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes43c3,480$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7334…cc1cbacked Yes18c3,449$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes53c3,430$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes35c3,421$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.393145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa03d…d98cbacked Yes5c3,397$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes41c3,348$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b55…7d76backed Yes2c3,278$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed Yes62c3,180$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9242…9f16backed Yes2c3,161$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes31c3,156$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…f52fbacked Yes34c3,137$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes37c3,068$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf7…9a82backed No69c3,037$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb773…9598backed Yes18c3,031$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.