TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,579,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,579,368 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfedc…6398backed Yes0c6,345,234$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,439.6630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3509…cc4fbacked Yes0c2,197,194$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ea…87b6backed Yes0c1,886,903$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb842…9ee1backed Yes0c1,347,727$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7f…f11bbacked Yes0c1,223,186$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c679,957$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.26273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6857…3f7abacked Yes0c334,260$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…c346backed Yes0c244,052$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa344…c58bbacked Yes0c243,768$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cde…f311backed Yes0c243,262$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a4…7c4dbacked Yes0c243,120$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…c753backed Yes0c242,711$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2084…ca97backed Yes0c242,114$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191d…ff2fbacked Yes0c241,105$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c238,262$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8842…ca90backed Yes0c237,402$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297e…eb24backed Yes0c213,099$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678c…62c3backed Yes0c211,988$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.0330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc280…12a8backed Yes0c201,877$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3708…bec1backed Yes0c196,530$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd962…8e0fbacked Yes0c195,947$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…0032backed Yes0c193,466$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f64…d79ebacked Yes0c191,079$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50df…23d9backed Yes0c187,850$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.4450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e42…1d26backed Yes0c183,034$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bb…e491backed Yes0c182,336$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd47…01f7backed Yes0c181,944$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed43…51b0backed Yes0c181,464$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…3d84backed Yes0c178,508$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73e…eb34backed Yes0c175,284$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ea…5800backed Yes0c173,491$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…7931backed Yes0c172,392$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.3630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb83…828ebacked Yes0c168,987$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8a…2062backed Yes0c157,335$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…3185backed Yes0c154,166$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9b…7ebabacked Yes0c149,020$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.2130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ca…ed14backed Yes0c147,080$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c4…d6dabacked Yes0c139,518$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…9538backed Yes0c137,066$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes0c136,962$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…e1cebacked Yes0c136,458$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes0c135,371$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4284…9f44backed Yes0c130,608$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb764…09bdbacked Yes0c128,272$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15f…e7e0backed Yes0c126,594$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc541…f65dbacked Yes0c123,651$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d8…2643backed Yes0c121,125$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159a…27c7backed Yes0c118,685$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3183…8c0cbacked Yes1c118,487$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee2b…bc24backed Yes0c115,424$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd217…3487backed Yes0c110,415$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7788…1501backed Yes0c110,123$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0881…7c2abacked Yes0c108,972$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2083…c7ebbacked Yes0c107,220$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1094…9ef7backed Yes0c105,872$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20f…0a1bbacked Yes0c102,420$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9175…41b2backed Yes0c101,470$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638f…fdcbbacked Yes0c98,982$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0250%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c2…0b58backed Yes1c95,262$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3b…5eafbacked Yes0c94,264$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9377…8484backed Yes0c92,675$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf9…b1b3backed Yes0c89,694$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812e…b3e8backed Yes0c89,001$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2d…4076backed Yes0c88,495$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419c…9111backed Yes0c88,341$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.0540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…708ebacked Yes0c87,075$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d14…dbd4backed Yes0c82,082$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c81,883$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.53170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749e…87a9backed Yes0c75,940$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b5…5adebacked Yes0c72,512$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb50c…46c7backed Yes0c72,248$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd608…fcd1backed Yes0c70,569$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe424…59c8backed Yes0c69,699$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b78…dd40backed Yes0c67,358$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e5…0f52backed Yes0c67,288$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…81e2backed Yes0c65,848$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6085…8ec3backed Yes0c64,048$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcde…4e4cbacked Yes0c62,624$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a8…9427backed Yes0c61,007$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe63a…275ebacked Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes0c57,376$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-87.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceeb…e1b7backed Yes0c56,084$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c53,471$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7270%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…7af0backed Yes0c50,940$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…bde0backed Yes0c47,904$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf296…c3a2backed Yes0c45,440$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9e…1ca1backed Yes0c44,716$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f6…b48abacked Yes0c42,000$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc62…72debacked Yes0c36,522$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e6…ae34backed Yes0c35,652$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…9499backed Yes0c35,324$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767e…e55bbacked Yes0c34,386$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e55…244dbacked Yes0c33,759$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…6a7dbacked Yes1c32,768$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…0facbacked Yes0c32,164$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb1…a0c7backed Yes0c32,150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bff…7291backed Yes0c31,644$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7eb…caa0backed Yes0c31,527$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bb…3667backed Yes0c31,507$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e9…7f2ebacked Yes0c31,020$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.