La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d9deeb6a32be1d084651a5d55aba34bc54bc18fabf2af8bc94b30849d70033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,473,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,473,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 1,846,794$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.53 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 286,946$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.84 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 150,812$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.62 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…a047backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 83,389$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 58,755$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.02 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…3501backed Yes | 0c | 43,686$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 34,168$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc541…f65dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,481$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes | 0c | 19,566$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd20…dbbfbacked Yes | 0c | 19,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…e7e0backed Yes | 0c | 19,476$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…c3a2backed Yes | 0c | 18,176$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…7af0backed Yes | 0c | 16,980$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e5…0f52backed Yes | 0c | 16,822$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…e491backed Yes | 0c | 16,576$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…bec1backed Yes | 0c | 16,356$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…b1b3backed Yes | 0c | 16,308$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…9111backed Yes | 0c | 16,062$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceeb…e1b7backed Yes | 0c | 16,024$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…23d9backed Yes | 0c | 15,028$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…4852backed Yes | 0c | 11,132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d3…891ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,123$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…8e0fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,313$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…0a1bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,242$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…41b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,147$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…5800backed Yes | 0c | 10,043$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d1…7438backed Yes | 0c | 10,023$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…794ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…97ddbacked Yes | 0c | 9,565$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…5afabacked Yes | 0c | 8,520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…512bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,550$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 6,517$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…2866backed Yes | 0c | 5,797$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…8784backed Yes | 0c | 5,537$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…8d79backed Yes | 0c | 5,450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdece…cb5ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…b0bcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…2b78backed Yes | 0c | 4,197$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…2189backed Yes | 0c | 3,114$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…ebbebacked Yes | 0c | 3,110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…e4a1backed Yes | 0c | 2,550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?this page
- Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes won
- Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.