La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10bcde172545dce79b25b75cf2e9b7b65d673b872dd9727bc320cbeb408a5ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,578,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,578,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 2,140,986$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.31 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 226,253$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.51 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…a047backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 48,839$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…6c3bbacked Yes | 0c | 41,091$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…3501backed Yes | 0c | 37,233$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 36,369$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ace…a5c6backed Yes | 0c | 34,170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 0c | 31,294$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Yes | 0c | 30,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…a1d6backed Yes | 0c | 27,864$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 20,279$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…5807backed Yes | 0c | 17,870$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…69aabacked Yes | 0c | 12,150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 10,706$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…2698backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…60b6backed Yes | 0c | 8,750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…6d4fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,897$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…8ae1backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4a…910fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,648$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a0…a3efbacked Yes | 0c | 6,647$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…2b5fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,397$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…aae1backed Yes | 0c | 6,153$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a5…d122backed Yes | 0c | 6,117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…3815backed Yes | 0c | 5,897$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…e7a8backed Yes | 0c | 5,853$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…2b87backed Yes | 0c | 5,473$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf302…2977backed Yes | 0c | 5,313$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…1548backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…e43cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…e072backed Yes | 0c | 5,037$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,138$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 3,617$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f6ccbacked Yes | 0c | 3,455$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…013cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,453$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0983…fa97backed Yes | 0c | 3,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…54a1backed Yes | 0c | 2,968$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…404abacked Yes | 0c | 2,948$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cb…a93bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,925$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…6b72backed Yes | 0c | 2,899$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…1e6cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,780$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…d94abacked Yes | 0c | 2,758$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…ea68backed Yes | 0c | 2,720$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…d225backed Yes | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…1281backed Yes | 0c | 2,699$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…d1efbacked Yes | 0c | 2,612$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…7219backed Yes | 0c | 2,611$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc2…1740backed Yes | 0c | 2,602$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…41b1backed Yes | 0c | 2,562$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…8abdbacked Yes | 0c | 2,525$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?this page
- Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes won
- Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.