TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f8b…6c3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.82
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.9
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.67
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$306
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.92
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$182.7
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$180.48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$158.44
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$370.47
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$861.88
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$699.74
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.4
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.93
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.15
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$27.09
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43.92
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20.24
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$18.48
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$18.5
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.56
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35.99
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$23.14
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$23.4
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.16
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.73
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$20.15
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$14
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52.54
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$21.07
Arizona State vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.38
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$14.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.02
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$15.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.