NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7c0c283066fe6b707383157dfc414e4a02d1137d7b5c8021ceeb3c4c40e3e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Rangers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Rangers | 62c | 64,852$40,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,002.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ducks | 38c | 46,783$17,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,837.78 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ducks | 40c | 15,378$6,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,215.42 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…9a73backed Rangers | 58c | 11,800$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,844 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…a702backed Ducks | 42c | 11,800$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,844 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Rangers | 60c | 9,814$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.29 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 38c | 8,400$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 23c | 5,421$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.83 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rangers | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Ducks | 41c | 1,996$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Rangers | 59c | 1,996$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Ducks | 9c | 1,903$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Ducks | 41c | 1,716$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Rangers | 59c | 1,712$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rangers | 58c | 1,698$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.71 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Ducks | 38c | 1,418$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.16 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 40c | 1,350$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.17 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Rangers | 77c | 1,300$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Ducks | 76c | 1,209$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Rangers | 60c | 1,149$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Rangers | 58c | 1,105$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.78 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,088$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.94 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Ducks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…24d0backed Rangers | 1c | 1,003$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Ducks | 41c | 827.74$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.13 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 59c | 765$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.35 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 38c | 632$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.84 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 57c | 609.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.27 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Rangers | 62c | 586.81$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers | 59c | 576.46$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rangers | 57c | 533.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.38 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks | 38c | 511.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.87 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Ducks | 15c | 456.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Ducks | 39c | 444$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.84 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Rangers | 63c | 442.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.87 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 59c | 401$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Ducks | 11c | 400$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 30c | 399.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Ducks | 41c | 332$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.88 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers | 58c | 323.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Rangers | 79c | 310$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 58c | 257.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Rangers | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rangers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Ducks | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Rangers | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Rangers | 77c | 164.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Ducks | 10c | 149.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Ducks | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…6fdbbacked Rangers | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Rangers | 77c | 122.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 42c | 120.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Rangers | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Ducks | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Ducks | 27c | 118.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380a…7505backed Ducks | 42c | 118$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…3e55backed Ducks | 42c | 115.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…3403backed Ducks | 43c | 112.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…b478backed Rangers | 59c | 103.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Rangers | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Ducks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ducks | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…97d5backed Ducks | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…3d93backed Rangers | 58c | 94.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…a8a3backed Rangers | 59c | 93.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…0a9cbacked Ducks | 43c | 93.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…df01backed Ducks | 43c | 93.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…c389backed Rangers | 59c | 89.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…99aabacked Rangers | 59c | 88.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…63c7backed Rangers | 58c | 88.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…9883backed Ducks | 43c | 87.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…9b2fbacked Rangers | 58c | 84.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7a9dbacked Ducks | 43c | 83.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…19c1backed Ducks | 43c | 81.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…960dbacked Rangers | 59c | 81.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…4c49backed Rangers | 58c | 79.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…bdc2backed Rangers | 58c | 78.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Ducks | 39c | 76.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Rangers | 62c | 73.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers | 58c | 73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…0a69backed Ducks | 43c | 72.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Ducks | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…c312backed Ducks | 33c | 60.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Rangers | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Ducks | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…e369backed Rangers | 59c | 52.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…3e47backed Ducks | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…d570backed Rangers | 59c | 52.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ducks | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.