TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f66…8938

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
569
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT26431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 264 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,599.06
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+91.4%+$262.73
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.31
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,098.45
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$599.87
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.22
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$69.19
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,252.14
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.05
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$988.06
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$511.37
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.75
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+182.7%+$6,109.63
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,441.86
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.33
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$470.93
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+342.3%+$4,825.21
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.27
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+218.1%+$5,167.7
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,518.75
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,143.48
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$1,323.51
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,576.8
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.85
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$608.36
Showing 25 of 264 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT11036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.44
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$48.44
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.38
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$48.01
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$590.93
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.14
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$488.12
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$234.19
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.62
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$306.44
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+129.8%+$183.36
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$251
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$146.63
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$192.13
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$277.08
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,462.44
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,326.14
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,541.47
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$616
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$643.59
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$507
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$262.21
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT9750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$73.98
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,997.39
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+94.8%+$932.12
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,112.72
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$443.58
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$373.93
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$444.12
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,776.8
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$499.61
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$604.02
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$374.12
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$919
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+131%+$1,442.91
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$598.89
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+75%+$444.81
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$144
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.82
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+78.2%+$239.97
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$459.75
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.6
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT5238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.93
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+121.5%+$364.46
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.2
Will West Ham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$263
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+156.3%+$312.95
Will Everton win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.48
Will Chelsea vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.18
Will Aston Villa vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+404%+$2,525
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will Newcastle vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Southampton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+124.9%+$913.41
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.19
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$991.1
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$527.38
Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Leicester vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Fulham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$508.08
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$647.99
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$232
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$477.34
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$658.43
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$100.16
Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$31.04
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$35.35
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.97
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KuPS vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$883.7
Will Lyon vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$134.66
Will Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$224.84
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$384.31
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$881.78
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Ajax vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+165.5%+$1,628.54
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,995Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$2,081.33
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+120.4%+$79.68
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+77.7%+$376.59
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$178.68
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked Marquette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$672.7
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+92.6%+$243.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$69.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$228.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$193
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.