MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0065c552dc2a949a0f5d2a8a5f3954174b20a1ac4046c79f03f173f68adcc6f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Reds, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 671 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 60c | 35,398$21,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,159.27 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 40c | 21,795$8,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,717.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 13c | 15,991$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.27 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Reds | 9c | 15,630$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 41c | 11,939$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Reds | 39c | 5,053$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.66 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Reds | 40c | 5,000$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.79 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…db27backed Reds | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…a5b9backed Reds | 40c | 4,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Pirates | 61c | 3,740$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…b574backed Pirates | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…cf55backed Pirates | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…b306backed Pirates | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pirates | 61c | 2,576$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.04 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Reds | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Reds | 40c | 2,050$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Reds | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Pirates | 61c | 1,882$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.07 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f1…f1a9backed Reds | 39c | 1,846$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 59c | 1,780$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pirates | 61c | 1,720$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.68 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Reds | 41c | 1,441$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.93 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…db80backed Pirates | 61c | 1,334$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 38c | 1,304$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…3becbacked Reds | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2ceebacked Reds | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…6f33backed Reds | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 11c | 1,077$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…ec01backed Pirates | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 60c | 1,031$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.4 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 40c | 1,005$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.19 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…515fbacked Pirates | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…c079backed Pirates | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Pirates | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…f93ebacked Pirates | 61c | 984$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 2c | 967.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…03a9backed Pirates | 61c | 862$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…c0f2backed Reds | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Reds | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…edf7backed Pirates | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pirates | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Reds | 39c | 769$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42fa…6ec3backed Reds | 41c | 766.09$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc145…4ce3backed Pirates | 60c | 765.8$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Pirates | 61c | 710.66$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Reds | 10c | 704.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…77d5backed Reds | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Reds | 14c | 673.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed Pirates | 61c | 625.13$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…6982backed Reds | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Reds | 40c | 620$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…d7a7backed Reds | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Reds | 37c | 584.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.18 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 61c | 574.61$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Pirates | 60c | 552.56$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Pirates | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 40c | 523.84$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Reds | 40c | 523$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Pirates | 61c | 521.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Reds | 39c | 513.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…8b66backed Pirates | 60c | 510$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 59c | 505.81$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Pirates | 60c | 500.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Reds | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…5efebacked Pirates | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 39c | 499.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Pirates | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…647bbacked Reds | 40c | 478$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 40c | 475.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 4c | 429.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…4893backed Pirates | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 41c | 408.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 40c | 407.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Reds | 40c | 400.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Reds | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 38c | 399.96$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 61c | 388$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 3c | 387.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…8c91backed Pirates | 61c | 359$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 60c | 356.8$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a9f8backed Reds | 41c | 354.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Pirates | 60c | 338.39$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pirates | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Pirates | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pirates | 60c | 325$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Reds | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Reds | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b4…3e3cbacked Reds | 40c | 272.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…3f95backed Pirates | 61c | 271.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…3281backed Pirates | 61c | 270.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.