TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd73b…70ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
423
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT14453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$348.11
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$95.65
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.34
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.1
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$313.96
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.49
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$98.7
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$98.9
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.5
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$134
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$551.74
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$501.15
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$488
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,071.82
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$688
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$558
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,302
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$557.06
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,536Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$986.22
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.9
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,145.81
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$795
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$625.92
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$532
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT12254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.85
Blues vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.26
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.5
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$240.35
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.4
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78%+$50.69
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+261.6%+$156.97
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.65
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$51.07
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$57.64
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Predators vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$61.36
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT6953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+89%+$109.22
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.01
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$294.83
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$96.91
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$484.81
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$441
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$488.1
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$474
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$321.34
Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$537.9
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$198.81
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$246
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$44.11
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$247.25
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$143.89
Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$95.63
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$142.96
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$597
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$290.42
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$148.08
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+143.9%+$438.9
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$211.15
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$365
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$240.32
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2763%17 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$108.33
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,533Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+101.4%+$2,568.99
Air Force vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$93
Tennessee vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$51.12
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,511Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$558.86
Southern Miss vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+103.3%+$1,735.66
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$29.2
Spread: Florida State (-6.5)backed NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$547.08
Florida Gators vs. Kentuckybacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,315
Baylor vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$176
Temple vs. Tulsabacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Florida Atlantic vs. Navybacked Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: UTEP (-2.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$452.6
UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,576Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+74.1%+$1,167.9
UMass vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$158.65
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$485.58
Rutgers vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$231.94
Southern Miss vs. Georgia Southernbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$483
Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$277.3
New Mexico vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$105.29
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$618
Louisville vs. Pittsburghbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$493.88
Notre Dame vs. Arkansasbacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$480.94
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$392.45
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$74.8
LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.58
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-18.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$249.13
San Jose State Spartans vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$545.67
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.57
Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77.32
Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.37
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$44.61
Drexel Dragons vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$57.42
Monmouth Hawks vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$136.84
Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$280.47
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$197.35
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.73
Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47.46
Davidson Wildcats vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$35.6
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Boston College Eagles: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.67
Auburn Tigers vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$69.4
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$222.51
New Mexico Lobos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+54.4%+$286.31
Oregon Ducks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$97.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$77
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,195
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$451
Spread: Packers (-5.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,391
Spread: LAR (-9.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,027
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$580.03
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$102.03
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$16.62
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.87
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$470
Bills vs. Bears backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Saints vs. Chargers backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$255.65
Lions vs. Falconsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$413.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$19.33
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$19.12
Aces vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Sparks vs Wingsbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$192.16
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,371Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,453.74
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$247.51
Storm vs Sparksbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Dream vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Lynx vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Fever vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$494
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$485.18
Fever vs Sparksbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.