TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Auburn Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oklahoma Soonersof Auburn Tigers, Oklahoma Sooners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Auburn Tigers56c2,300$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.071,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Oklahoma Sooners43c1,728$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.161,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Oklahoma Sooners79c1,700$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.64544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma Sooners42c1,074$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.952,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed Auburn Tigers3c824.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.725520%11 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers21c798.8$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.865,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers43c756.92$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.214,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Auburn Tigers59c656.49$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.727450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners73c533.49$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.983,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Oklahoma Sooners45c500$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2772,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma Sooners40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Auburn Tigers58c492.32$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.548432.1%27 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Auburn Tigers60c479.27$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5679448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Auburn Tigers24c416.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.692,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ac…ae05backed Auburn Tigers9c349.37$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.44825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Oklahoma Sooners42c300.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0836535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers14c299.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.594,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Oklahoma Sooners43c276.9$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Oklahoma Sooners51c271.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma Sooners46c255.28$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma Sooners51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.195,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Oklahoma Sooners50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Auburn Tigers55c217.59$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.653844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Oklahoma Sooners45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Auburn Tigers56c199.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Auburn Tigers58c196.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.023718.9%7 W · 30 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Auburn Tigers59c192.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.295556.4%31 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Auburn Tigers31c186.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Auburn Tigers18c181.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.361,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…7824backed Oklahoma Sooners44c180.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.942748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Oklahoma Sooners48c169$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.882,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma Sooners66c168.68$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.663,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Auburn Tigers56c167.6$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.171,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Oklahoma Sooners69c158.22$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.493247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Oklahoma Sooners79c125.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.99769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Auburn Tigers56c123.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.42147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af5…82debacked Oklahoma Sooners41c120.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Auburn Tigers59c119.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7711747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Oklahoma Sooners48c103.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6922640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Auburn Tigers57c99.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.518444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Auburn Tigers56c99.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5238351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Oklahoma Sooners77c79.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Oklahoma Sooners43c69.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Auburn Tigers32c56.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Auburn Tigers49c51.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.055433.3%18 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Auburn Tigers49c51.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.055623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Auburn Tigers61c49.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Auburn Tigers36c46.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.441,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Oklahoma Sooners41c45.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8220834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Auburn Tigers55c45.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9749157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Auburn Tigers57c42.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0743053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…7df5backed Auburn Tigers62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Auburn Tigers53c38.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4137441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Auburn Tigers28c37.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Auburn Tigers57c34.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8311552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Auburn Tigers57c27.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.938248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Oklahoma Sooners44c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7317634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Oklahoma Sooners44c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7325230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.