TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc036…7df5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.19
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+201.2%+$50.31
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Danny Wolf: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$195.38
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+102.4%+$50.76
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$47.62
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.57
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Coppin State Eagles vs. Howard Bison: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.82
San Diego Toreros vs. Portland Pilotsbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.98
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.1%+$17.91
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.83
North Dakota State Bison vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Auburn Tigers vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$32
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+222.6%+$64.03
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$350
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+79.6%+$258.84
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.3%+$32.85
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58.31
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$25
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$50.76
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.62
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+197.7%+$98.84
BNP Paribas Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Quentin Halys vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mitchell Krueger vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.3%+$29.17
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+220%+$66.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$111.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.