Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota State Bison vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7d1cf8307bafd3bcef3c72e055138b27037c66c98ca212a77ef6aec4d2b38a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof North Dakota State Bison, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed North Dakota State Bison | 38c | 4,396$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.04 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 3,465$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.31 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 2,383$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 1,391$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.87 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 71c | 1,286$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.48 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 1,275$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed North Dakota State Bison | 38c | 1,096$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.54 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 55c | 869.1$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.82 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 762.83$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Dakota State Bison | 38c | 745.2$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.02 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed North Dakota State Bison | 31c | 611.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 584.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 495.84$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 27c | 440.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 428.66$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 421.77$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 63c | 301.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 59c | 299.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota State Bison | 30c | 264.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 257.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed North Dakota State Bison | 37c | 226.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Dakota State Bison | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 176.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 146.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Dakota State Bison | 38c | 141.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 128.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 121.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed North Dakota State Bison | 27c | 109.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 69c | 99.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 88.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 60c | 82.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 81.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Dakota State Bison | 27c | 80.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 76.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed North Dakota State Bison | 38c | 65.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 61.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota State Bison | 41c | 61.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed North Dakota State Bison | 37c | 60.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 59c | 50.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 64c | 46.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed North Dakota State Bison | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 41.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 47c | 30.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82f…ba73backed North Dakota State Bison | 43c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 69c | 26.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 25.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 60c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.