TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x12bb…cee9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$25.85
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$36.82
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.96
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$13.8
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.44
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.38
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$4.55
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.76
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.37
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$3.33
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.23
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zipsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kansas State Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. LIU Sharksbacked Mercyhurst Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Weber State Wildcats vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Omaha Mavericks vs. South Dakota Coyotesbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$31.67
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+400%+$40
North Dakota State Bison vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
UTEP Miners vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked UTEP Miners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Elon Phoenix vs. Towson Tigersbacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.88
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$68.01
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$31.97
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.15
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$29.26
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.05
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.07
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick42cpaid+166.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+69.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.27
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.47
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.06
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+132.6%+$13.92
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37%+$3.99
Air Force vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.1
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$18.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$80.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.