Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. Towson Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3869d42d793423f2166a1239533805eef747ab8c1159562e8eda2e19539eb25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towson Tigersof Elon Phoenix, Towson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 58c | 21,951$12,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,624.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Towson Tigers | 42c | 8,077$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.58 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Towson Tigers | 35c | 7,672$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.77 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Towson Tigers | 56c | 2,411$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Towson Tigers | 49c | 2,387$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.42 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Towson Tigers | 70c | 2,320$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.88 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 2,244$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Towson Tigers | 69c | 2,182$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.18 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Towson Tigers | 70c | 1,993$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Towson Tigers | 32c | 1,941$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.9 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Towson Tigers | 70c | 1,612$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 1,444$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.99 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Elon Phoenix | 66c | 1,443$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.2 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Towson Tigers | 73c | 1,317$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.81 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Elon Phoenix | 27c | 1,145$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.81 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Towson Tigers | 54c | 1,072$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…62b9backed Towson Tigers | 35c | 807.41$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 780$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elon Phoenix | 43c | 769.14$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Towson Tigers | 61c | 649.95$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 645.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Elon Phoenix | 31c | 638.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Towson Tigers | 49c | 570.09$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Towson Tigers | 69c | 441.58$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Elon Phoenix | 31c | 360.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Towson Tigers | 53c | 290.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Elon Phoenix | 59c | 287.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Towson Tigers | 68c | 271.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 258.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Towson Tigers | 34c | 241.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.43 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Towson Tigers | 58c | 211.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 27c | 210.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Towson Tigers | 69c | 181.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Towson Tigers | 50c | 168.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Towson Tigers | 76c | 156.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 150.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc808…1e04backed Towson Tigers | 35c | 132.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Elon Phoenix | 29c | 131.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Elon Phoenix | 47c | 127.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 124.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 120.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…32e4backed Towson Tigers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…4a99backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 99.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Elon Phoenix | 31c | 96.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 90.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Towson Tigers | 37c | 86.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 80.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Towson Tigers | 68c | 79.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Towson Tigers | 69c | 77.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Towson Tigers | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Elon Phoenix | 31c | 62.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Elon Phoenix | 80c | 61.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Towson Tigers | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elon Phoenix | 49c | 59.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Elon Phoenix | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Towson Tigers | 67c | 51.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Elon Phoenix | 68c | 47.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 44.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Towson Tigers | 70c | 40.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Elon Phoenix | 31c | 37.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Elon Phoenix | 31c | 33.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…cee9backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 31.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Towson Tigers | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Elon Phoenix | 44c | 29.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…1d07backed Towson Tigers | 70c | 28.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Elon Phoenix | 60c | 23.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Towson Tigers | 54c | 22.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Towson Tigers | 74c | 21.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Towson Tigers | 77c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Towson Tigers | 68c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.