TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88af…62b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.75
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.29
Memphis Tigers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.06
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.01
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.63
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+152.1%+$467.28
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+74.3%+$165.09
Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$286.26
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$24.78
Jackson State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+190.9%+$415.58
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$274.06
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Lindenwood Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$179.19
Alcorn State Braves vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+174.8%+$259.51
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.01
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$228.03
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47.98
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+110.5%+$98.46
Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$56.97
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+106.7%+$162.29
Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharksbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75%+$107.68
Temple Owls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+214.8%+$268.55
Maine Black Bears vs. Albany Great Danesbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$111.78
Elon Phoenix vs. Towson Tigersbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$524.77
Winthrop Eagles vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneersbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$48.15
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+145.8%+$90.33
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.