TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Dartmouth Big Green vs. Penn Quakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Penn Quakersof Dartmouth Big Green, Penn Quakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Dartmouth Big Green23c2,837$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.055,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Dartmouth Big Green28c2,350$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.921,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn Quakers72c1,757$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.092,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Penn Quakers72c1,601$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1411252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Dartmouth Big Green2c1,517$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.276346%29 W · 34 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Dartmouth Big Green43c1,439$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.812,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Dartmouth Big Green27c1,385$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Dartmouth Big Green31c1,329$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.631,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Penn Quakers46c1,171$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.343423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Dartmouth Big Green28c1,067$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8925130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked Penn Quakers71c1,021$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Penn Quakers74c977.37$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.121,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Penn Quakers74c976.13$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7915557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88af…62b9backed Penn Quakers40c774.48$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.282748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Penn Quakers73c635.74$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.531,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dartmouth Big Green43c528.76$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.014,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Penn Quakers63c497.21$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.484,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dartmouth Big Green28c465.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.262,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Penn Quakers72c464.17$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.991,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Dartmouth Big Green27c430.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Penn Quakers43c358.66$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Dartmouth Big Green29c344.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.282828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dartmouth Big Green30c297.8$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.742,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green44c275.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.723,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dartmouth Big Green49c267.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.413,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn Quakers68c240.43$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.961,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dartmouth Big Green26c219.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Penn Quakers54c216.8$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dartmouth Big Green26c199.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Penn Quakers68c198.83$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6900…9a4bbacked Penn Quakers73c198.62$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.631450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Penn Quakers73c174.61$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7310753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…eec3backed Dartmouth Big Green27c173.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.794341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Dartmouth Big Green26c170$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.231537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Dartmouth Big Green29c148.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1916721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dartmouth Big Green55c143.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.852,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Dartmouth Big Green28c139.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0831647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Penn Quakers73c136.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.899470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Dartmouth Big Green78c127.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.394544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Penn Quakers70c124.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.531,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Penn Quakers71c118.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4711257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Penn Quakers71c108$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Dartmouth Big Green46c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.579769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Dartmouth Big Green59c105.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6239742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green45c101.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.073,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8236…6479backed Dartmouth Big Green27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…5995backed Dartmouth Big Green27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+85.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Penn Quakers51c91.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Dartmouth Big Green27c88.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.229947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001f…4c4abacked Dartmouth Big Green59c84.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.582665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Dartmouth Big Green32c79.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2470%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Dartmouth Big Green27c77.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Penn Quakers69c76.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.956566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82f…ba73backed Dartmouth Big Green27c73.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Penn Quakers73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Dartmouth Big Green27c56.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2134746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dartmouth Big Green53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Dartmouth Big Green27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dartmouth Big Green33c48.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Dartmouth Big Green62c43.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.994959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Dartmouth Big Green71c41.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7815246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Penn Quakers74c41.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6718557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Dartmouth Big Green26c40.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5219860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x380a…c51abacked Penn Quakers36c31.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.461233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Penn Quakers72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.439050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Dartmouth Big Green35c29.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.172,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Penn Quakers70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Dartmouth Big Green41c27.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d6…5cdfbacked Dartmouth Big Green59c26.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Penn Quakers55c25.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3815551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Dartmouth Big Green53c23.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2414049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe092…9f1abacked Penn Quakers71c20.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.081560%9 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked Penn Quakers57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Penn Quakers74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.216755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Penn Quakers61c18.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.351,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.