TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf72…b4a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT9470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.43
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
Missouri State Bears vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$44.75
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.37
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$31.87
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.58
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.4
Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$45.26
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.99
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.72
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.78
Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$33.68
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.73
LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$27.81
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$34.75
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$55.29
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Nicholls Colonels vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$36.04
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$44.5
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.84
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.06
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$90.23
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.02
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$71.22
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.32
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$41.55
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$41.57
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$32.86
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$84.11
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+59%+$59.01
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$36.9
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.95
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$33.37
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$35.15
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.93
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$31.07
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.39
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68.52
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$36.05
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78%+$93.54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$249
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.96
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$47.04
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$89.99
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.98
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$160.59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.29
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$30.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.01
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.5
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$82.56
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.04
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$35.43
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$84.01
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Julien LeBlanc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.77
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tanner Boser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jamie Siraj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.18
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$97.72
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Luke Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.06
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.89
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.26
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Regina Tarin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.6%+$30.88
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35%+$25.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.