Golf · resolved market

Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5771dcd9615ae499610e2799a433c0b8cc8c24e2fbfca1f490cb340a85aa4d7

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,831 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb729…4e2ebacked Yes	23c	6,539$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	77c	1,708$1,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.72	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes	2c	1,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	172	26.7%46 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes	4c	327.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde63…a703backed Yes	4c	272.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6457…879ebacked Yes	4c	260.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	6c	201.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x474b…fcaabacked Yes	8c	150.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No	77c	69.36$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.62	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	75cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes	17c	67.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed No	63c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.95	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed No	80c	31.42$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e6…37dbbacked Yes	55c	18.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+42%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event