Golf · resolved market

Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbfc03ba5276b9311e7a93426522889260155570d652976a0e393c7883e8e4e2

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,653 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8832…34adbacked Yes	6c	3,468$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0356…ad1abacked Yes	6c	2,096$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c8…76b4backed Yes	22c	1,369$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2394…6a6bbacked Yes	6c	1,365$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes	4c	1,351$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.16	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d9…03dbbacked Yes	8c	1,192$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad5…ae77backed Yes	6c	891$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32f5…bc16backed Yes	6c	842$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No	80c	793.48$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.86	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9645…69f6backed Yes	6c	786$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	5c	597.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	72	4.2%3 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	5c	319.59$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No	79c	293.67$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	268.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes	23c	256.31$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.05	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7075…964cbacked Yes	27c	55.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event