TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,493 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes12c3,476$417 inLost-$417.14837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No78c2,405$1,865 inWon+$540.555044%22 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes19c1,521$295 inLost-$2951225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes30c1,200$354 inLost-$354520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes4c1,178$44 inLost-$43.71315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-77.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1221…5aadbacked Yes3c1,000$29 inLost-$28.96812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+640.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes5c991.9$48 inLost-$47.61378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes8c724.48$60 inLost-$60355.7%2 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes26c651.33$168 inLost-$168.163525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes7c640$48 inLost-$47.617226.7%46 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f7…93c2backed Yes17c571.77$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9853…e86abacked Yes19c548.88$104 inLost-$104520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c427.77$19 inLost-$19.392953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e65…ff48backed Yes5c300$16 inLost-$16.321631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5095…17c6backed Yes8c160.66$13 inLost-$12.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3a…b9c6backed Yes16c160.32$25 inLost-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed Yes51c136.74$70 inLost-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes44c112.38$50 inLost-$49.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeeb…3f5bbacked Yes19c80.03$15 inLost-$15.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No56c56.82$32 inWon+$257062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ba…1349backed No79c30.57$24 inWon+$6.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.