TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7ba…1349

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
695
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Music, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Music at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT27167.2%182 W · 89 L+1.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 271 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.82
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$32.91
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.63
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.93
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$32.26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$24.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.49
Showing 25 of 271 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT22770.9%161 W · 66 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 227 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$11.83
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.63
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.93
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17.86
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.68
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.76
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.77
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.03
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$10.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.17
Showing 25 of 227 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.21
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Anika Jaskova vs Clarissa Gaibacked Clarissa Gai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
ITF Hechingen: Eva Bennemann vs Josy Daemsbacked Josy Daems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
ITF Knokke-Heist: Anouck Vrancken Peeters vs Ikumi Yamazakibacked Ikumi Yamazaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.83
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Matthieu Chambonniere vs Branko Djuricbacked Branko Djuric · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
Liberec: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.43
Targu Mures: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.13
ITF Aldershot: James Beaven vs Giulio Peregobacked Giulio Perego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$18.02
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
Vancouver: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Emma Dongbacked Emma Dong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.09
ITF Bali: Yuta Tomida vs Isaac Becroftbacked Isaac Becroft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.92
Los Cabos Open: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.52
Vancouver: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.13
ITF Brisbane: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Duje Markovinabacked Duje Markovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Vancouver: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.48
The Memphis Classic: Mary Stoiana vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.32
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.79
ITF W15 Astana 3 Women: Kira Bataikina vs Ekaterina Kuznetsovabacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
ITF W15 Astana 3 Women: Daria Kuznetsova vs Eunchae Kimbacked Eunchae Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.91
ITF M15 Astana Men: Radimir Lutkovskii vs Saki Tangebacked Saki Tange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.76
Los Cabos Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.78
Los Cabos Open: Alex Hernandez vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.61
Brazzaville: Jody Maginley vs Matteo Covatobacked Matteo Covato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.59
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT3281.3%26 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.66
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.14
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.84
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.29
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.08
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.31
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.32
Will Astralis win ESL Pro League Season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$7.92
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.27
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.18
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.35
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.94
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.35
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$21.33
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.04
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.72
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$5.86
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.26
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)backed G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.79
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$10.95
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.46
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.71
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.01
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.68
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$15.77
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.37
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.92
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.39
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.83
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.37
Will Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.4
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$10
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.91
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.98
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.84
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$9.5
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.97
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.75
Will CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$11.1
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$7.88
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.88
Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.04
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.31
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.03
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.2%+$7.43
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.67
Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.22
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.8
Will Xandra Velzeboer (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick78cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.6
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.06
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.02
All 5 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.28
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42%+$26.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.69
T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallantsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.4%+$7.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$18.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$17.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.1%+$47.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)backed Barcelona SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.