CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ed8a8bdff8cad0e85546cdd1914d4a228edb4f0593858371cf403ee79194ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ESC Gamingof Favbet, ESC Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,652 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8405…8501backed ESC Gaming | 66c | 7,398$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet | 63c | 3,057$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Favbet | 34c | 2,109$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.06 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Favbet | 37c | 2,001$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.54 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed ESC Gaming | 28c | 2,000$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.38 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Favbet | 34c | 1,537$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.67 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ESC Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Favbet | 34c | 457.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Favbet | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Favbet | 34c | 223.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed Favbet | 34c | 217.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Favbet | 45c | 216.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Favbet | 34c | 197.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Favbet | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Favbet | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Favbet | 60c | 103.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Favbet | 19c | 97.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ESC Gaming | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed ESC Gaming | 53c | 94.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ESC Gaming | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Favbet | 36c | 90.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked ESC Gaming | 52c | 79.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Favbet | 36c | 71.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked ESC Gaming | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 58.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed ESC Gaming | 75c | 45.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked ESC Gaming | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 43.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Favbet | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Favbet | 36c | 41.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Favbet | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked ESC Gaming | 78c | 38.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Favbet | 39c | 33.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 PlayoffsFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.