TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa62c…a3c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Drama eSports - Map 1 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lazer Cats (BO1) - DraculaN Group Abacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$14.68
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sangal (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$8.11
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Sangal (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.8
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+68%+$13.6
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.12
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.31
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.54
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.71
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.12
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156%+$47.8
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Dbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$34.08
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$43.58
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e - Map 2 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$10.4
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Dbacked 8Sins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.67
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.7
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)backed Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$127.61
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$95.2
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+142.8%+$81.17
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.9%+$238.53
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+102.3%+$28.52
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+141.7%+$33.25
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.59
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+106.7%+$57.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+592.2%+$139.99
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.61
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.8%+$13.43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+913.3%+$265.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$76.82
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.03
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$118.51
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+170.4%+$133.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70.1
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$27.53
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$63.96
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.99
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$66.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.46
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+151.4%+$31.69
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+83.3%+$10.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.46
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.88
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$64.97
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$39.02
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+201.1%+$44.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.04
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$91.35
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.79
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$91.76
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$14.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$39.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.98
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Gbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 3backed Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.61
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56.38
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.74
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+376.2%+$66.85
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+141.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+421.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.28
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$24.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$88.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.