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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trickedof Heroic, Tricked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,579 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tricked22c4,337$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,392.2830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Heroic78c3,456$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.9935850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5407…251cbacked Heroic50c2,592$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.1214857.4%85 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Heroic70c2,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.995653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Heroic56c2,034$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.5914555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Heroic49c2,003$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.763324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Heroic50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00075356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tricked48c1,652$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.773,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Tricked50c1,649$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9157358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80c…d40cbacked Tricked51c1,309$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.221850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic52c1,273$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.2845357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Tricked45c1,255$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4611240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Heroic51c1,222$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.3812752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Tricked49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61229851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Tricked43c1,171$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9413453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Tricked22c1,145$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.711247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Heroic70c1,024$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72059049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked30c810.08$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.437,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Heroic47c799.99$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540234.6%139 W · 263 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Tricked51c777.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.64,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Tricked30c777$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.935342.8%151 W · 202 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic55c744.57$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.474,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Tricked47c704.14$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.915,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Tricked45c634.95$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0562350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Heroic47c596.59$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3676546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Tricked48c591$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0729244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Tricked24c563.66$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.6634146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Heroic50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.536253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic43c554.52$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.12,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Tricked48c540$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4424747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Tricked47c538$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4638942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Tricked47c507$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6754346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Tricked45c505.46$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9129831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked49c466.13$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.526,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Tricked26c430.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4936554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9bf…4bebbacked Tricked75c397.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.644047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Tricked14c372.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4513436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Heroic79c345.92$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2845162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Tricked42c307.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4980744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tricked48c295.28$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.441,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic69c283.47$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.262,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a011backed Tricked28c246.27$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.521838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Heroic62c240.36$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed Heroic63c237.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Heroic51c233.78$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9222952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Heroic48c225.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4757422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5556938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricked51c199.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.553,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Tricked42c187.47$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7326134.5%90 W · 171 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Heroic50c180.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1765254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Tricked57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4413267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Heroic51c172.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6710651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40cd…f932backed Heroic38c170$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.82437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Heroic56c164.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.581,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Tricked65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Tricked37c150.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Tricked15c133.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6731950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked Tricked52c123.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1212050.8%61 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Tricked21c122.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1384937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Heroic54c121.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Tricked39c114.26$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.592,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Tricked49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.324649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Tricked62c109.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5226958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Heroic61c108.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.587939.2%31 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked Tricked30c106$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.211344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Tricked51c100.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.321,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Heroic65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6547665.1%310 W · 166 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Tricked76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Heroic21c97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.611,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic53c92.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.22,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8f…1f80backed Tricked22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Tricked22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Heroic53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4318751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Tricked37c79.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1847053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed Tricked26c76.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.677136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Tricked51c75.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.781,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Tricked47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8315752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Tricked49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2212138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Heroic50c61.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.815750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeb9…b98fbacked Heroic48c57.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Heroic48c56.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.46251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed Tricked30c56.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.677755.8%43 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…d9fabacked Tricked29c50.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Tricked71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.536845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed Tricked29c49.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.217552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Heroic50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238144.4%36 W · 45 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35fb…2da2backed Heroic49c44.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac9a…2927backed Tricked50c39.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+77.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd470…f040backed Tricked39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Heroic53c37.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed Tricked48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2f…6e32backed Tricked49c33.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.97333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Tricked43c29.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7196049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Heroic50c29.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6315160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Tricked48c29.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.110447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Heroic49c27.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5611655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5b…1a23backed Heroic61c26.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tricked49c23.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.032,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Tricked71c22.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6122324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Heroic47c21.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1952755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.