TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d00…95b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucaramanga: Johan Nikles vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Cannon Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Bucaramanga: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Daniel Salazarbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.65
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$66.51
Bucaramanga: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$26.22
Sao Paulo: Juan Bautista Torres vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$13.95
Morelia: Yunchaokete Bu vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.93
Morelia: Nicolas Mejia vs Andres Martinbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$3.19
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$40.31
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Christopher Libacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$31.12
Sao Paulo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.24
Bucaramanga: Maxime Janvier vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$17.18
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.51
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$27.54
Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$29.85
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.28
Split: Andrej Nedic vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Naples: Andrea Pellegrino vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.51
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.22
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$68.86
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$11.81
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.89
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.06
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+179.2%+$22.64
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$351
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$30.91
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$8.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.27
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$9.55
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winnerbacked Back to Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.04
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+109%+$19.55
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$78.7
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$143.87
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$22.5
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+57%+$44.77
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.6
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.9
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.21
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-8.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
La Salle Explorers vs. Army Black Knights (W)backed Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+32%+$20.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.