NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7be326158a8ce78c4f38304fd489cf60ed7483a4ef5865c6303134a86898e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $729,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Penguins | 43c | 252,751$108,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,554 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 57c | 122,256$69,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,685.97 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 52c | 79,299$41,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,567.29 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Penguins | 48c | 71,679$34,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,564.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Senators | 54c | 58,752$31,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,588.24 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 44c | 50,630$22,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,353.05 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 48c | 31,392$14,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,443.92 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Senators | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,799.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Senators | 53c | 19,631$10,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,458.27 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 58c | 17,952$10,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,411.88 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 57c | 16,947$9,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,659.79 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Senators | 55c | 15,440$8,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,512.47 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Penguins | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Senators | 57c | 14,669$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,361.27 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Senators | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 57c | 9,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Senators | 51c | 7,666$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Penguins | 41c | 7,170$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.3 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Penguins | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.96 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 42c | 6,737$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.9 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Penguins | 41c | 6,422$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 42c | 6,321$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.32 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 58c | 5,984$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 49c | 5,664$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.8 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Penguins | 42c | 5,660$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.8 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 58c | 5,500$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.98 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Senators | 57c | 5,315$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.8 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Senators | 57c | 5,289$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 57c | 5,220$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.51 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 53c | 4,519$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.89 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…4566backed Penguins | 46c | 4,391$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 41c | 3,700$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 57c | 3,508$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.56 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 46c | 3,161$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.62 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Senators | 51c | 3,075$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 41c | 3,018$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.87 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Senators | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed Senators | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Penguins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.98 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Senators | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Penguins | 42c | 2,550$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Senators | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Penguins | 54c | 2,447$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.68 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Penguins | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…fe42backed Senators | 56c | 2,184$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…541bbacked Senators | 56c | 2,184$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 43c | 2,125$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.5 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Penguins | 44c | 2,065$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.33 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Senators | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Penguins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 47c | 1,985$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.43 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…3845backed Senators | 58c | 1,980$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Senators | 55c | 1,899$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Senators | 53c | 1,800$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Penguins | 40c | 1,740$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.74 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Senators | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Senators | 54c | 1,699$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.64 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 58c | 1,600$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.05 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Penguins | 43c | 1,586$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.89 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Senators | 58c | 1,585$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 29c | 1,581$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.49 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 71c | 1,531$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.01 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Senators | 58c | 1,419$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.11 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Penguins | 58c | 1,358$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.35 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Penguins | 48c | 1,357$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.71 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Penguins | 41c | 1,330$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.86 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…7766backed Senators | 58c | 1,330$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Senators | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Penguins | 46c | 1,263$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.01 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Senators | 56c | 1,245$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Senators | 54c | 1,220$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Senators | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Penguins | 49c | 1,198$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Senators | 58c | 1,197$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 72c | 1,190$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.8 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 75c | 1,189$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Penguins | 49c | 1,145$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 58c | 1,130$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.01 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Senators | 57c | 1,129$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.46 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 58c | 1,111$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.38 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Senators | 60c | 1,099$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…0fa7backed Senators | 60c | 1,071$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 41c | 1,065$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.29 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Senators | 58c | 1,056$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.12 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Penguins | 28c | 1,030$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.05 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Penguins | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.52 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Senators | 63c | 1,015$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Senators | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Senators | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Senators | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Penguins | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 64c | 930.32$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.28 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Senators | 56c | 923$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.88 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Penguins | 43c | 910$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.7 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Senatorsthis page
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.