TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56c9…afe7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,700
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$165.2
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,680.26
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4,084.51
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,200
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$1,275.46
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18,662Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$6,837.87
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$1,833.39
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+59%+$7,671.98
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.9%+$3,494.16
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+217.5%+$14,137.01
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$6,000
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,427.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$469.23
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$553.85
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$833.9
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,447.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Philadelphia: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$1,784.11
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
ITF Fano: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Leonardo Primuccibacked Leonardo Primucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Istanbul 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Max Basingbacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,631.58
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Andres Martinbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+326.8%+$3,268.18
Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smithbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+181.5%+$907.74
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halysbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$818.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+345.2%+$10,355.07
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$2,514.36
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.04
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$4,822.92
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15,000
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$5,530.61
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+302.5%+$10,588.14
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$2,663.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-61.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32%+$11,826.48
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,783Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.7%+$3,846.84
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+31.7%+$1,995.02
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10,000
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$5,000
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$8,000
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,800
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$7,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$7,651.66
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$6,129.72
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$4,000
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$6,500
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick30cpaid+69.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$1,469.23
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$2,043.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$15,041.14
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.09
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,820Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+145.3%+$11,365.32
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$4,216.7
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+162.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+259.3%+$2,716.36
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$2,627.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,997.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+4,997.5%+$29,984.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$473.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.