Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8651d7d8b6f27328ad61fab52940f3e689c73695d622e193df138b19685da421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,040,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,102,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,040,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3612…5b8bbacked Yes | 8c | 451,792$36,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,178.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 6c | 294,634$16,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,672.77 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 0c | 150,082$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.64 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…fb02backed Yes | 7c | 118,294$8,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked Yes | 6c | 91,200$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 9c | 90,826$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 7c | 82,365$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 3c | 76,750$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…7b5bbacked Yes | 6c | 71,639$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 6c | 60,186$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.66 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Yes | 7c | 46,737$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…b0cabacked Yes | 5c | 45,989$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…7444backed Yes | 6c | 45,551$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…8315backed Yes | 7c | 40,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 7c | 39,221$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.27 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 6c | 36,551$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 7c | 34,782$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 6c | 32,882$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.38 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed39…7c4ebacked Yes | 7c | 32,809$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…dd76backed Yes | 8c | 32,476$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked Yes | 2c | 30,508$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 29,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…aeb8backed Yes | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 7c | 23,554$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…3975backed Yes | 9c | 23,229$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 8c | 22,857$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 7c | 22,285$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.64 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Yes | 7c | 21,657$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…91a0backed Yes | 7c | 21,429$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 8c | 21,100$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…6ffebacked Yes | 9c | 20,611$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 6c | 20,277$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…8cdfbacked Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…968dbacked Yes | 10c | 19,823$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked Yes | 1c | 19,556$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 7c | 18,289$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.21 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…c8bbbacked Yes | 0c | 16,980$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…e9f8backed Yes | 0c | 16,620$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…504bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,430$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7515backed Yes | 8c | 16,414$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Yes | 6c | 16,020$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 7c | 15,267$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.09 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…2833backed Yes | 0c | 15,110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…5d0abacked Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…5ae3backed Yes | 0c | 14,960$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…8c31backed Yes | 11c | 14,843$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…62acbacked Yes | 0c | 14,730$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…ebeabacked Yes | 8c | 13,645$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…ed33backed Yes | 7c | 13,623$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…eb1abacked Yes | 8c | 13,306$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…1ffcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,820$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…115abacked Yes | 0c | 12,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Yes | 7c | 12,323$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…3bdbbacked Yes | 7c | 12,239$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6cf6backed Yes | 9c | 11,637$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 6c | 11,500$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…02efbacked Yes | 7c | 11,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Yes | 9c | 11,132$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 11,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 4c | 10,913$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.19 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…a5b5backed Yes | 8c | 10,792$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…3701backed Yes | 0c | 10,640$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…95c6backed Yes | 8c | 10,625$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…b493backed Yes | 8c | 10,570$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…104ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,320$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1b…02e0backed Yes | 3c | 10,272$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…f8b3backed Yes | 1c | 10,252$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…c985backed Yes | 2c | 10,174$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…19c9backed Yes | 7c | 10,020$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 7c | 9,997$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 7c | 9,196$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.72 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 7c | 9,000$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…8324backed Yes | 7c | 8,894$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 5c | 8,655$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.75 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…d9f9backed Yes | 8c | 8,600$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 8,375$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.75 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…1a7ebacked Yes | 9c | 8,308$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…3899backed Yes | 7c | 8,250$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…fc19backed Yes | 7c | 8,115$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…81b3backed Yes | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…4699backed Yes | 6c | 7,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…e2c1backed Yes | 11c | 7,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…e914backed Yes | 8c | 7,400$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…c8afbacked Yes | 7c | 7,374$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…e5febacked Yes | 2c | 7,250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 7c | 7,178$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.91 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Yes | 7c | 7,150$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…9069backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…ab88backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 6c | 7,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…e469backed Yes | 7c | 6,864$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…9c2abacked Yes | 7c | 6,680$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…0c88backed Yes | 7c | 6,676$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.28 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…e470backed Yes | 1c | 6,513$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…e76dbacked Yes | 7c | 6,288$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.