Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdcd333ff42c2908a1c1ba56435e9de40969c32c1e83a1c2bc76352a74c5c0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,563,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,387,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,563,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 857 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 25c | 481,828$120,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360,955.13 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Yes | 15c | 415,629$63,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351,729.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 14c | 145,743$19,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,820.16 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…3c75backed Yes | 22c | 134,081$29,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,798.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +357.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 53c | 125,713$66,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,528.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…594fbacked Yes | 31c | 124,821$38,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,635.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 16c | 120,690$19,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,792.64 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 19c | 100,000$18,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,034.29 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked Yes | 17c | 96,453$16,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,897.82 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 0c | 90,881$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 16c | 72,526$11,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,785.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Yes | 24c | 69,885$17,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,816.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bb…a4c5backed Yes | 15c | 62,312$9,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,916.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 62,000$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 44c | 56,731$24,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,011.52 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Yes | 23c | 52,806$12,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,798.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Yes | 19c | 52,408$10,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,229.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…b476backed Yes | 19c | 51,588$9,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,016.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…2b07backed Yes | 26c | 49,977$12,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,015.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…487fbacked No | 6c | 48,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 23c | 45,827$10,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,312.74 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 25c | 42,827$10,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,049.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…17c2backed Yes | 12c | 41,556$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,436.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +305.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 1c | 41,460$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.32 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Yes | 32c | 38,752$12,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,351.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…89e9backed Yes | 72c | 37,593$27,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,511.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…3527backed Yes | 29c | 36,028$10,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,579.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…8a2cbacked Yes | 55c | 34,954$19,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,784.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 33c | 33,570$11,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,382.16 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 27c | 30,681$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,340.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…a10dbacked Yes | 25c | 30,637$7,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,027.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…02efbacked Yes | 18c | 29,039$5,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,897.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…326cbacked Yes | 20c | 29,000$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,209.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…b493backed Yes | 31c | 28,143$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,444.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 14c | 27,881$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,854.85 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…0e24backed Yes | 12c | 27,614$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,264.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…2644backed Yes | 25c | 27,259$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,444.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +189.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248b…d301backed Yes | 25c | 26,641$6,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,872 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…eecfbacked Yes | 18c | 25,064$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,508.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +450.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 28c | 25,014$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,013.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…aeb8backed Yes | 20c | 25,001$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 21c | 25,000$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,775.84 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…6c9cbacked Yes | 24c | 25,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed Yes | 23c | 25,000$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,154.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1171backed Yes | 21c | 24,988$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,788.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…afe6backed Yes | 21c | 24,536$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,494.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…eb1abacked Yes | 21c | 24,499$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,472.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…57edbacked Yes | 20c | 23,901$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,101.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…4542backed Yes | 21c | 23,641$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,590.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 37c | 23,074$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,474.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…cee6backed Yes | 26c | 22,764$5,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,826.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…0abebacked Yes | 14c | 22,141$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,041.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +106%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…5709backed Yes | 21c | 22,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,380 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ef1backed Yes | 37c | 21,683$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,629.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 0c | 21,286$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 4c | 20,763$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.46 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…75e8backed Yes | 24c | 20,003$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,202.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…1b01backed Yes | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…a5b5backed Yes | 30c | 19,413$5,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,545.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…ebeabacked Yes | 10c | 19,091$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,090.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c32…3945backed Yes | 19c | 18,756$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,274.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 19c | 18,722$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,206.86 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 20c | 18,000$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,387.07 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes | 25c | 17,678$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,319.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…fc19backed Yes | 23c | 17,138$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,209.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 69c | 15,716$10,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…3899backed Yes | 27c | 14,959$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,952.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed Yes | 17c | 14,575$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,060.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…c21bbacked Yes | 22c | 14,206$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,081.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…e629backed Yes | 28c | 13,577$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,836 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 30c | 13,564$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,520.87 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…91a0backed Yes | 22c | 13,279$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,318.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 75c | 13,155$9,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed Yes | 27c | 13,062$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,498.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 19c | 13,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,560 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…df6bbacked Yes | 21c | 12,505$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,838.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 69c | 12,420$8,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…a0d0backed Yes | 25c | 11,766$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b51dbacked Yes | 21c | 11,441$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,090.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 43c | 11,396$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…3d7cbacked Yes | 62c | 11,259$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…9549backed Yes | 18c | 10,879$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,878.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 29c | 10,750$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.83 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 59c | 10,742$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.84 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked No | 67c | 10,692$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,184.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 10,681$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,498.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 22c | 10,637$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,331.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…7248backed Yes | 24c | 10,563$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked No | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…4e58backed Yes | 29c | 9,683$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.14 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…d8cabacked Yes | 25c | 9,666$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 25c | 9,598$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,228.36 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…23d8backed Yes | 19c | 9,551$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,783.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 24c | 9,539$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,242.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…81b3backed Yes | 24c | 9,250$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…d9f9backed Yes | 17c | 9,154$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,597.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.