Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768eb43d1b7a745e0df1bb6050ab54aa3975fbbde6e23f4aa04cb527f5ffed2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,813,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $996,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,813,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3612…5b8bbacked Yes | 4c | 517,113$18,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,171.12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 1c | 432,238$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.89 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 248,014$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.58 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…fb02backed Yes | 2c | 173,758$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 3c | 161,771$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.26 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…3bdbbacked Yes | 2c | 135,003$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…e2f6backed Yes | 1c | 111,650$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…b6c8backed Yes | 2c | 107,988$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 2c | 106,066$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked Yes | 1c | 83,652$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 2c | 80,115$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8435…df2cbacked Yes | 1c | 67,168$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 0c | 65,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe179…1edebacked Yes | 1c | 59,013$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 2c | 58,274$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 57,038$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.19 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…f8b3backed Yes | 0c | 56,064$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…dd76backed Yes | 2c | 47,525$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…eb1abacked Yes | 2c | 41,055$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 40,271$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.89 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…af3abacked Yes | 3c | 40,036$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 2c | 39,733$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.2 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 3c | 39,339$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.63 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…3f7cbacked Yes | 2c | 38,175$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 3c | 35,711$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…eb66backed Yes | 2c | 34,591$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 2c | 34,521$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked Yes | 2c | 33,739$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 32,989$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.36 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…d0cfbacked Yes | 2c | 31,212$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…9069backed Yes | 2c | 30,809$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 3c | 28,212$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.75 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 2c | 27,866$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.65 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 2c | 27,184$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…84a1backed Yes | 1c | 26,919$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…1968backed Yes | 2c | 25,540$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.58 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 25,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked Yes | 1c | 24,205$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.75 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…bb6cbacked Yes | 2c | 23,358$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…c8afbacked Yes | 2c | 23,000$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 1c | 22,818$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 3c | 21,134$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 2c | 20,277$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…32e8backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…958abacked Yes | 0c | 19,970$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,691$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 2c | 18,345$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…2749backed Yes | 3c | 18,157$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…4c52backed Yes | 2c | 17,962$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 17,661$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…2833backed Yes | 0c | 17,070$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Yes | 2c | 16,893$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…8324backed Yes | 3c | 16,738$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7515backed Yes | 2c | 16,560$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4e…6880backed Yes | 0c | 16,510$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…0affbacked Yes | 0c | 16,210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 2c | 16,052$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.83 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…1e14backed Yes | 0c | 15,080$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…5d0abacked Yes | 3c | 15,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b51dbacked Yes | 3c | 14,850$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…2323backed Yes | 0c | 14,740$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 1c | 14,356$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…5ae3backed Yes | 0c | 14,220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 1c | 14,138$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 13,786$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.23 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 3c | 13,212$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.59 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…3975backed Yes | 2c | 13,057$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 3c | 13,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes | 2c | 12,511$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…1134backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…b5ffbacked Yes | 2c | 11,840$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,753$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.63 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…80f7backed Yes | 1c | 11,678$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…0eabbacked Yes | 0c | 11,667$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 11,495$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 2c | 11,384$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…c985backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 3c | 11,000$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…4a64backed Yes | 2c | 10,943$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes | 2c | 10,888$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…26ecbacked Yes | 2c | 10,555$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 10,505$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…91a0backed Yes | 1c | 10,324$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8905…32d5backed Yes | 2c | 10,244$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 2c | 10,138$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…c653backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…a5b5backed Yes | 2c | 9,755$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…dc3cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,596$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…c4c1backed Yes | 2c | 9,325$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0db2backed Yes | 2c | 8,906$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…e469backed Yes | 2c | 7,900$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…19c9backed Yes | 4c | 7,492$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 2c | 7,398$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked Yes | 3c | 7,143$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.