Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb031253ecf0d6b9f75e3630dee3033ab6c8ee9cce0a3e47285b0d15d717b32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,777,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,369,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,777,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8d1…599dbacked Yes | 6c | 375,041$24,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,145.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…453dbacked Yes | 9c | 158,133$14,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,605.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf873…7e9ebacked Yes | 14c | 120,298$17,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,239.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…df8dbacked Yes | 14c | 107,519$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…1248backed Yes | 14c | 101,284$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 10c | 94,046$9,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.23 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Yes | 13c | 87,013$11,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,128.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed Yes | 10c | 84,831$8,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,183.24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 12c | 81,197$9,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.39 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 13c | 80,062$10,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,063.39 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…0d50backed Yes | 16c | 76,420$12,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,356.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 16c | 73,364$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,440 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes | 1c | 73,169$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.51 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…2d92backed Yes | 10c | 68,938$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,844.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 13c | 66,593$8,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,946.46 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…481fbacked Yes | 13c | 62,675$8,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d1…1a60backed Yes | 9c | 61,463$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 5c | 60,000$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Yes | 15c | 58,865$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 15c | 56,711$8,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,606.49 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 51,610$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.3 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 13c | 50,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 13c | 46,684$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.91 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bd…e78cbacked Yes | 15c | 42,368$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 14c | 39,183$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 14c | 38,225$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.54 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 16c | 35,101$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.99 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3206…da51backed Yes | 13c | 34,535$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2228…7eafbacked Yes | 15c | 31,957$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…66c8backed Yes | 12c | 30,850$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…dd76backed Yes | 15c | 30,445$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed Yes | 8c | 30,158$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.09 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…15e1backed Yes | 17c | 29,830$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 15c | 29,116$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.56 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…bab1backed Yes | 12c | 28,999$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked Yes | 11c | 27,651$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…7c8fbacked Yes | 16c | 26,014$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 12c | 25,622$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.44 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…b565backed Yes | 11c | 25,476$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…f4e1backed Yes | 8c | 24,358$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed Yes | 10c | 21,334$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…07a7backed Yes | 13c | 20,084$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 17c | 19,969$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.27 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 15c | 19,627$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.97 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 15c | 19,173$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…1968backed Yes | 13c | 19,029$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.09 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 7c | 19,027$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.13 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…9e64backed Yes | 2c | 18,867$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…dc57backed Yes | 11c | 18,845$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730b…9055backed Yes | 10c | 18,580$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…319ebacked Yes | 16c | 18,540$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…f191backed Yes | 14c | 18,357$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 14c | 18,058$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.93 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…bdf5backed Yes | 11c | 17,652$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…8c31backed Yes | 14c | 17,610$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…31fdbacked Yes | 11c | 17,545$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…624abacked Yes | 11c | 17,523$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0120…b177backed Yes | 6c | 17,500$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…313dbacked Yes | 9c | 17,255$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 14c | 16,512$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.44 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…4760backed Yes | 11c | 16,237$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 12c | 15,583$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.11 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8b44backed Yes | 9c | 15,449$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 15c | 15,307$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.87 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…e6d9backed Yes | 13c | 15,226$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…18ecbacked Yes | 13c | 15,208$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…080ebacked Yes | 12c | 15,114$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…fa03backed Yes | 13c | 15,010$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 16c | 15,000$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.28 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 14,950$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.95 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed Yes | 13c | 14,679$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.48 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 10c | 14,532$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…0b98backed Yes | 12c | 14,367$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…3516backed Yes | 15c | 14,318$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…5563backed Yes | 10c | 14,189$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes | 13c | 13,967$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.53 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…3e34backed Yes | 11c | 13,800$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…774ebacked Yes | 11c | 13,141$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…33cfbacked Yes | 15c | 12,699$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…c05bbacked Yes | 12c | 12,571$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 0c | 12,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 14c | 12,000$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.75 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes | 14c | 11,945$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…95c6backed Yes | 14c | 11,429$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…6d72backed Yes | 13c | 11,351$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…75dbbacked Yes | 10c | 11,272$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 14c | 11,103$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.11 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…b5ffbacked Yes | 14c | 11,051$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 9c | 11,000$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.5 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…7d98backed Yes | 15c | 10,370$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7515backed Yes | 12c | 10,160$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c50…4f6ebacked Yes | 17c | 10,015$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ece4backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…d854backed Yes | 11c | 9,899$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.55 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed Yes | 16c | 9,849$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked Yes | 13c | 9,812$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…1a7bbacked Yes | 10c | 9,741$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.