Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c9c47de9c871b6cfbae8956f3586f09ae131c44f73e478bc824c106489dd930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,777,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,024,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,777,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Yes | 7c | 612,948$42,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,823.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 7c | 268,898$18,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,873.02 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 5c | 250,409$13,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,380.86 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…5b8bbacked Yes | 5c | 161,928$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 9c | 123,577$11,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,504.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…df8dbacked Yes | 6c | 85,045$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 6c | 83,067$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…b0cabacked Yes | 8c | 81,450$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 6c | 79,260$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.25 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 6c | 76,520$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.54 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 10c | 76,131$7,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,651.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 6c | 66,279$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.12 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 56,795$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.51 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 8c | 56,226$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.5 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Yes | 7c | 53,125$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 5c | 50,534$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 0c | 43,988$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…f8b3backed Yes | 1c | 40,055$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 5c | 39,994$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.36 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 5c | 36,692$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 35,817$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.86 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…4699backed Yes | 5c | 35,388$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…dd76backed Yes | 12c | 33,848$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 6c | 29,025$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.46 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8b44backed Yes | 6c | 27,397$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…1a1abacked Yes | 7c | 27,188$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…76bfbacked Yes | 6c | 26,472$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 8c | 24,731$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Yes | 7c | 23,368$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…9dd4backed Yes | 0c | 22,540$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 8c | 22,287$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.86 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 4c | 22,163$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…f02bbacked Yes | 5c | 21,957$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.74 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…0b65backed Yes | 8c | 21,601$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…2e81backed Yes | 5c | 21,058$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 8c | 20,249$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.14 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…5ba3backed Yes | 5c | 20,032$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…f8d4backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…e2ecbacked Yes | 5c | 19,896$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…2323backed Yes | 0c | 19,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 5c | 18,842$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 8c | 18,816$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.61 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 7c | 18,433$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 7c | 18,325$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…b493backed Yes | 9c | 17,848$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 5c | 17,207$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…28fbbacked Yes | 0c | 16,320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…1968backed Yes | 7c | 16,030$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.3 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…8d8cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,610$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 2c | 15,465$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.86 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 6c | 15,414$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.54 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…8c31backed Yes | 8c | 15,382$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…fc19backed Yes | 9c | 15,000$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes | 7c | 14,695$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.97 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…8667backed Yes | 0c | 14,620$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…75e8backed Yes | 5c | 14,237$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 9c | 13,800$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…796dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Yes | 7c | 13,000$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 8c | 13,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…f191backed Yes | 8c | 12,511$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 6c | 12,500$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…736bbacked Yes | 8c | 12,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…07a7backed Yes | 10c | 12,034$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 4c | 11,825$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 6c | 11,500$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7515backed Yes | 9c | 11,459$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 6c | 11,423$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 9c | 11,101$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 8c | 10,999$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 6c | 10,690$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.43 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 6c | 10,647$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e5…cb71backed Yes | 5c | 10,540$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 7c | 10,529$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.58 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 6c | 10,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 1c | 10,491$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Yes | 7c | 10,346$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 7c | 10,135$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.45 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked Yes | 6c | 10,110$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 5c | 10,047$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…5ddebacked Yes | 7c | 10,013$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…bb6cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…3f7cbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 7c | 9,921$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.75 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 4c | 9,789$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.38 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…3cbebacked Yes | 10c | 9,457$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…b565backed Yes | 7c | 9,352$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…b5ffbacked Yes | 9c | 9,350$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…8a14backed Yes | 7c | 9,247$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…edc9backed Yes | 5c | 9,210$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 6c | 9,098$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.25 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3485…159abacked Yes | 4c | 8,888$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 5c | 8,836$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.83 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…3bdbbacked Yes | 6c | 8,798$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936c…927abacked Yes | 6c | 8,656$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.