Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f66bed374181b08fa7b7eead51d69a4a1af868f8e7ff6944c649822d76aa03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,436,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,035,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,436,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3612…5b8bbacked Yes | 5c | 503,246$24,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,810.63 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 2c | 307,309$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,578.64 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 223,465$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.82 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8435…df2cbacked Yes | 2c | 118,757$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 5c | 107,537$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 3c | 100,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 3c | 66,130$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.78 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 63,653$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.22 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 0c | 61,614$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 3c | 53,102$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.96 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 3c | 52,974$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 4c | 52,796$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.88 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…dd76backed Yes | 3c | 45,221$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…1968backed Yes | 2c | 42,200$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.1 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7899…af3abacked Yes | 4c | 39,824$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 3c | 39,458$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.75 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…7444backed Yes | 3c | 37,799$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.17 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa044…fff9backed Yes | 1c | 33,679$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…e2f6backed Yes | 2c | 33,569$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 4c | 32,671$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed39…7c4ebacked Yes | 3c | 31,908$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…c8afbacked Yes | 3c | 30,193$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…ed33backed Yes | 2c | 29,485$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.29 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…736bbacked Yes | 4c | 27,603$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…fb02backed Yes | 3c | 25,169$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 4c | 24,676$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…c985backed Yes | 1c | 24,015$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 23,915$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.31 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 23,421$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.32 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 3c | 21,960$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.96 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 4c | 21,074$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.77 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…b5ffbacked Yes | 3c | 19,401$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…7af9backed Yes | 0c | 18,320$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 3c | 17,478$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…5057backed Yes | 0c | 17,220$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…12b7backed Yes | 0c | 17,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…ccc0backed Yes | 3c | 16,932$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…9069backed Yes | 3c | 16,867$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…7075backed Yes | 0c | 16,630$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…2323backed Yes | 0c | 16,530$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7515backed Yes | 3c | 16,417$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…f7c9backed Yes | 0c | 15,980$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…84a1backed Yes | 3c | 15,883$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…59b8backed Yes | 1c | 15,612$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…5d0abacked Yes | 4c | 15,368$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…95c6backed Yes | 3c | 14,734$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 4c | 14,621$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.44 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…3975backed Yes | 3c | 14,510$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 3c | 13,993$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…db55backed Yes | 0c | 13,910$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,876$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 13,783$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.83 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes | 3c | 13,178$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.44 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…4c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 13,120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…196bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,120$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…eb1abacked Yes | 3c | 13,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…1a7ebacked Yes | 4c | 12,824$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…d0cfbacked Yes | 4c | 12,689$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…bb6cbacked Yes | 3c | 12,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 5c | 12,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 3c | 12,481$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…4a64backed Yes | 3c | 11,977$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…f8b3backed Yes | 1c | 11,829$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…4c52backed Yes | 3c | 11,785$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 3c | 11,730$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.32 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…95a2backed Yes | 1c | 11,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 4c | 10,175$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…3bdbbacked Yes | 3c | 10,019$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…8c31backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.79 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…5ddebacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…3f7cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 9,977$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.46 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…a5b5backed Yes | 3c | 9,699$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…91a0backed Yes | 3c | 9,360$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…81b3backed Yes | 4c | 9,340$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes | 3c | 9,112$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 4c | 8,314$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.85 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked Yes | 3c | 8,300$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f91…d1fabacked Yes | 3c | 8,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 4c | 8,000$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…19c9backed Yes | 4c | 7,819$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…0c88backed Yes | 3c | 7,553$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 4c | 7,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…8324backed Yes | 4c | 7,497$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…e469backed Yes | 3c | 7,100$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…e6fabacked Yes | 3c | 6,936$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…33b3backed Yes | 3c | 6,828$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…9c2abacked Yes | 4c | 6,688$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 4c | 6,651$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 3c | 6,381$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…e914backed Yes | 3c | 5,990$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 3c | 5,755$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…c4c1backed Yes | 3c | 5,603$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,514$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…1a25backed Yes | 3c | 5,289$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 3c | 5,241$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 3c | 5,219$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…d597backed Yes | 3c | 5,170$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.