Us Politics · resolved market
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9c818392b7e213bebe13ef773d2ecfe637221dbe04c4b9f47a3ce890f1cf4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,753,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,914,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,753,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 731 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3612…5b8bbacked Yes | 12c | 308,838$37,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,203.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 12c | 224,241$26,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,045.95 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 13c | 208,318$26,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,252.88 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 198,623$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.31 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…7b5bbacked Yes | 11c | 179,199$19,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,757.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked Yes | 1c | 165,965$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.63 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 10c | 139,978$14,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,572.91 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 10c | 134,691$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,110.26 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 114,051$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…b493backed Yes | 10c | 79,973$8,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,001.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…3527backed Yes | 12c | 79,644$9,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,557.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked Yes | 10c | 75,499$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.93 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…89e9backed Yes | 6c | 74,958$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…3c13backed Yes | 1c | 67,608$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 9c | 64,621$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728.87 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…df6bbacked Yes | 5c | 63,547$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 0c | 61,999$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bb…a4c5backed Yes | 9c | 60,262$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Yes | 15c | 57,344$8,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,622.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 18c | 56,283$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Yes | 12c | 56,031$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…ae43backed Yes | 4c | 55,871$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…4494backed Yes | 20c | 50,736$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 10c | 50,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…3d7cbacked Yes | 2c | 47,607$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…6c9cbacked Yes | 12c | 41,700$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…916bbacked Yes | 0c | 41,249$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 39,690$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.28 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…4949backed Yes | 11c | 38,789$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…ebeabacked Yes | 13c | 37,746$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 8c | 36,589$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…8860backed Yes | 3c | 36,298$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Yes | 12c | 35,934$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…81b3backed Yes | 14c | 35,355$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 8c | 35,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed Yes | 8c | 35,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 14c | 35,000$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…b476backed Yes | 10c | 34,634$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…389abacked Yes | 19c | 34,569$6,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 11c | 33,933$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.46 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Yes | 13c | 33,572$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…eb1abacked Yes | 14c | 32,334$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 30,670$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…dd76backed Yes | 16c | 30,657$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 8c | 30,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 6c | 28,716$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.38 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Yes | 14c | 28,638$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 12c | 27,483$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…fc19backed Yes | 14c | 26,109$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…fb02backed Yes | 10c | 25,200$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…ecaebacked Yes | 0c | 25,038$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…a5b5backed Yes | 13c | 24,694$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…3899backed Yes | 16c | 23,960$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…1cffbacked Yes | 14c | 23,264$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…7444backed Yes | 12c | 23,179$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1b…02e0backed Yes | 5c | 23,035$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6386…9b33backed Yes | 1c | 21,432$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 15c | 21,100$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 11c | 20,753$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.85 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7515backed Yes | 16c | 20,530$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Yes | 10c | 20,277$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 20,058$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…115abacked Yes | 3c | 20,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…3687backed Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…5d0abacked Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…6aebbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 15c | 19,757$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.53 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…6891backed Yes | 2c | 19,393$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 11c | 19,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…afe6backed Yes | 14c | 18,316$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 17c | 18,273$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…75e8backed Yes | 11c | 18,250$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…3bdbbacked Yes | 15c | 18,203$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…ed33backed Yes | 8c | 18,055$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…827ebacked Yes | 14c | 18,010$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…55a3backed Yes | 3c | 17,939$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 7c | 17,896$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.9 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…a0d0backed Yes | 10c | 17,484$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…95a2backed Yes | 1c | 17,016$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…8315backed Yes | 10c | 16,775$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Yes | 4c | 16,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed Yes | 10c | 16,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 10c | 15,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…91a0backed Yes | 19c | 14,322$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…8c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 13,641$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…326cbacked Yes | 15c | 13,452$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…02efbacked Yes | 14c | 13,369$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…8c31backed Yes | 22c | 12,870$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…dc57backed Yes | 17c | 12,842$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 13c | 12,668$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…9f51backed Yes | 12c | 11,948$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ef1backed Yes | 14c | 11,887$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…4542backed Yes | 17c | 11,571$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…736bbacked Yes | 17c | 11,530$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…ac9bbacked Yes | 10c | 10,090$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 8c | 10,061$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64this page
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14No won
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes won
- Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.