TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7327…151a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Space at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT7532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+1,152.9%+$15,029.28
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,578.69
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$6,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,031.62
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$366
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,181.19
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.15
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,130.27
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+203%+$1,564.44
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,338.27
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars (To Advance)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$324.6
Will the Washington Capitals be Eastern Conference champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,879.56
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,679.99
NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$589.31
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.87
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,760.04
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,139.01
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,257.76
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$701.5
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,393.26
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.7
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,305.81
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.47
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.65
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.77
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT3212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.73
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+179.2%+$170.62
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.5
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$470.44
U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.1
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,836.4
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+1,751.9%+$210.01
Will Trump halt NYC congestion pricing before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54.7
Will Trump list the Tren de Aragua as a terrorist organization before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
Will Trump list MS-13 as a terrorist organization before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.48
Trump transgender sports ban?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$448.29
Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$520.33
Will Trump issue less than 100 executive orders in first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$62.92
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$375.1
Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$180.36
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$573.93
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$126.5
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$349.86
Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+90%+$5,599.12
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+130%+$1,716.11
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$26,252.88
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$7,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$7,578.64
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT296.9%2 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.27
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+822.2%+$376.24
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$73.26
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.06
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51.06
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$130.15
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$66.6
Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.84
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$154.61
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.52
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43.59
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$123.35
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Kanye tweet 200-399 times February 20-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$108.9
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+795.7%+$468.27
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66.6
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$61.6
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.65
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Israel strike on Iran on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$606.74
Israel strike on Iran on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.91
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.38
Israel strike on Iran on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.03
Israel strike on Iran on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.68
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.11
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,020.56
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,785.78
Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Israel military action on Yemen before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,811.62
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,138.29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+57.8%+$332.39
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+240.4%+$1,836.19
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11,773Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+58.2%+$6,853.8
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+181.3%+$1,927.36
Iran strike on Israel before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,539Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+52.3%+$2,372.27
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$529.22
No Israel strike Iran on by Sunday Oct 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,235.07
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,211.25
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$14,912.05
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,561.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$222.33
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$279.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$383.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.