Token Launches · resolved market
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5110205d7e456247cdb198623c4271c74165144ce8ebdfb02d2e478c4cc178d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a90…265dbacked No | 0c | 182,582$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…165bbacked No | 8c | 68,834$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 3c | 31,702$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 6c | 25,343$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.67 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…4e32backed No | 0c | 5,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 9c | 5,449$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed No | 6c | 5,169$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…6202backed No | 23c | 4,629$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 76c | 2,759$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 6c | 2,749$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…b22dbacked No | 10c | 2,481$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 13c | 2,456$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 1c | 2,435$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 2c | 2,408$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 69c | 1,435$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…fc5ebacked No | 9c | 1,330$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 4c | 1,296$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…87acbacked No | 5c | 1,087$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed No | 3c | 954.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 12c | 908.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 4c | 899.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…a312backed No | 13c | 826.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 18c | 702.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…e969backed No | 15c | 695.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 17c | 692.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…20c5backed No | 9c | 553.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 10c | 505.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…da6abacked No | 7c | 503.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…ae59backed No | 25c | 495.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 59c | 473.45$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f4…a366backed No | 6c | 446.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 24c | 398.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…64c1backed No | 25c | 397.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…010abacked No | 13c | 383.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…ea7ebacked No | 9c | 332.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…e0d6backed No | 15c | 323.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…09b5backed No | 9c | 316.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked No | 7c | 309.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 67c | 298.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 8c | 295.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1125…2f2bbacked No | 21c | 292.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…a6d8backed No | 17c | 287.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…85f3backed No | 18c | 273.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…19f0backed No | 5c | 257.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7b…7520backed No | 9c | 253.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…2c6cbacked No | 8c | 248.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…a8b6backed No | 20c | 248.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…19f1backed No | 6c | 230.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 80c | 222$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 8c | 216$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…499cbacked No | 9c | 203.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…46d1backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec8…9696backed No | 20c | 197.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…37d9backed No | 20c | 197.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a9…acb9backed No | 8c | 186.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…c1d4backed No | 11c | 185.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09c…5289backed No | 7c | 180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked No | 12c | 177.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed No | 41c | 172.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 8c | 166$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked No | 21c | 165.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed No | 14c | 162.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 16c | 161.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked No | 25c | 159$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…ec5dbacked No | 6c | 155.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…bb36backed No | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…119cbacked No | 14c | 146.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6063…03f6backed Yes | 76c | 143.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b6…79e6backed No | 9c | 142.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…917ebacked No | 15c | 139.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 24c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…d40abacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…ffb0backed No | 10c | 116.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 72c | 112.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 28c | 111.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…5ceebacked Yes | 73c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…e55abacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 77c | 95.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed Yes | 74c | 89.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…52f7backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 22c | 76.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…5789backed No | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…b207backed Yes | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e4…4ccdbacked Yes | 74c | 62.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…2af2backed Yes | 73c | 60.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Yes | 76c | 60.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…3ec3backed Yes | 78c | 55.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…9e29backed No | 20c | 50.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…f363backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b75fbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 60c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…5707backed Yes | 76c | 38.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed No | 34c | 36.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…83dabacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb3…252dbacked Yes | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.