TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8304…f086

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
394
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Music, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8555.3%47 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$378.54
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.5%+$371.72
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.9%+$61.5
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$81.9
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38%+$104.96
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.5%+$41.3
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.6%+$29.1
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+133.1%+$400.07
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$14.4
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.1%+$28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.2%+$226.89
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.94
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.7
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51.2
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$93.21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$143.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.27
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$183.1
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.5%+$23.48
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$56.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.8
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+50.8%+$43.8
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$34.35
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.5%+$37.69
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+94.4%+$607.38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52.7%+$581.75
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$145.01
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.6%+$10.5
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$33.23
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.2%+$18.6
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29%+$4.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.7%+$146.45
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$227.25
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5358.5%31 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.6%+$21.1
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+194%+$423.84
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$8
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.5%+$10.9
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Trump send the national guard to New York City by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+364.8%+$64.75
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$62.21
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33.74
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.1%+$20.8
Will fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.54
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+45%+$78.07
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$23.7
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.57
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.59
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+158.6%+$46
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$69.2
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.39
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$113.23
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.3
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+133.7%+$14.87
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.8%+$40.09
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.7%+$22.32
Will Johannes Kaiser win between 13% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$57.48
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.11
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$123.3
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+200.8%+$26.7
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$117.37
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$18.91
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$11.5
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Yoon in jail before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.1
Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.8%+$36.9
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.56
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$57.2
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.32
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.5
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$13.01
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+105.8%+$100.26
Will Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.6%+$78.43
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$121.81
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$158.07
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.02
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$365.34
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+44.6%+$15.42
Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $48m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.39
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $66m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT+189.9%+$19.65
All 17 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Dell say "Zoho" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will NVIDIA say "Arizona" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.6
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.69
Will Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.7%+$7.9
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$99.3
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+55.2%+$41.97
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$17.25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+298.9%+$164.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.2%+$63.86
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33%+$62.07
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.5%+$84.47
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$6.9
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.7
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$47.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+280.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick77cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick75cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Doug Polk’s win his “Every Starting Hand” Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$43.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$34.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$3.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lane Kiffin out as Ole Miss head coach by January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.