Olympics · resolved market
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5753e57cf9882fe4bbfdc7d347df1bd31777f2cdbe97a13e41285639fad832f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,793,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,793,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 122,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…5811backed Yes | 0c | 65,086$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…8434backed Yes | 9c | 31,005$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 0c | 28,919$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…1ecbbacked Yes | 1c | 24,042$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes | 0c | 21,392$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 20,971$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 20,816$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…dddcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 0c | 18,999$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 18,279$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.73 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,842$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…443bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,348$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Yes | 8c | 12,249$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 1c | 10,851$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…57f2backed Yes | 1c | 10,467$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…f3cebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…1ecdbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…f391backed Yes | 5c | 9,300$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…896bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,241$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…9094backed Yes | 2c | 9,241$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d9…c8b1backed Yes | 9c | 8,889$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…36babacked Yes | 0c | 8,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d3…e9ccbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…a9efbacked Yes | 1c | 7,063$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…c0bfbacked Yes | 3c | 6,786$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 1c | 6,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +1,708.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123d…ad2abacked Yes | 0c | 6,078$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…e51bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,536$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…f8e4backed Yes | 8c | 5,512$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…cd6bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…0664backed Yes | 0c | 5,341$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7059…ececbacked Yes | 2c | 5,160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…8e5abacked Yes | 1c | 5,104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…4968backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…7103backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…a003backed Yes | 1c | 4,967$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…1496backed Yes | 1c | 4,747$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…748cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,553$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…f234backed Yes | 2c | 4,502$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…cbeabacked Yes | 1c | 4,464$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…df64backed Yes | 1c | 4,395$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…ceefbacked Yes | 1c | 4,329$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…2fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 1c | 4,079$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b4…bb06backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…3461backed Yes | 3c | 3,899$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…af1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,805$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…513ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,795$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…1bd4backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8253…9848backed Yes | 1c | 3,714$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…0e44backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…6d56backed Yes | 8c | 3,061$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…c69cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…067ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…1232backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa407…05d6backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…5f69backed Yes | 4c | 2,933$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9c3cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,877$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0334…2c11backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865b…d164backed Yes | 4c | 2,856$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…9729backed Yes | 2c | 2,841$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…99e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,644$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,632$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…3642backed Yes | 6c | 2,629$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…baedbacked Yes | 4c | 2,592$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…e036backed Yes | 4c | 2,550$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…2fecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,540$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…6070backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7872…b15bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…6ffbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…77f7backed Yes | 1c | 2,458$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…f18cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,384$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 3c | 2,350$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +296.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…a060backed Yes | 2c | 2,258$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…cc85backed Yes | 2c | 2,179$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…0cf5backed Yes | 1c | 2,178$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 2c | 2,173$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…6949backed Yes | 1c | 2,121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…5bc8backed Yes | 3c | 2,100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…86a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,081$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…7e94backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…bb31backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f842backed Yes | 3c | 1,996$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…815cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,987$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ca…9b14backed Yes | 2c | 1,982$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…7cf6backed Yes | 2c | 1,950$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…aa32backed Yes | 9c | 1,944$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…f3dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,875$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…85bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,833$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 2c | 1,805$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacf…b3b9backed Yes | 3c | 1,726$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…e4d1backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…411bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,649$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?this page
- Another country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Great Britain wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.