Olympics · resolved market
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x604699c465b190fdd1929338d726616411ff3cf6123fb0d604dda0181d34976c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,389,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,118,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,389,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 0c | 94,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed No | 0c | 83,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…f856backed No | 0c | 66,149$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 1c | 29,032$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked No | 11c | 20,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed No | 0c | 19,352$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 3c | 17,865$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.3 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…4706backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 2c | 10,598$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…944cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 8,901$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…f391backed No | 5c | 8,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 1c | 7,391$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…3955backed No | 4c | 7,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…973ebacked No | 1c | 6,032$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…13fcbacked No | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked No | 2c | 5,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…0f9cbacked No | 1c | 4,124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…6ffbbacked No | 8c | 3,872$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…6cedbacked No | 3c | 3,427$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…4d9cbacked No | 3c | 3,244$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…37fcbacked No | 3c | 3,144$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 1c | 3,129$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 4c | 2,659$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…3013backed No | 8c | 2,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…2a16backed No | 4c | 2,426$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc8…d0cfbacked No | 7c | 2,144$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 6c | 2,100$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…3baebacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…e216backed No | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…d513backed No | 3c | 1,770$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc721…5238backed No | 3c | 1,770$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb599…68dbbacked No | 3c | 1,714$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7b…9374backed No | 4c | 1,652$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…83fcbacked No | 3c | 1,562$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…013cbacked No | 3c | 1,547$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac9…caafbacked No | 2c | 1,488$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…15ffbacked No | 4c | 1,471$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0703…daf6backed No | 3c | 1,371$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…2f0fbacked No | 2c | 1,328$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed No | 4c | 1,298$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…41d1backed No | 3c | 1,286$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…91c7backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 4c | 1,224$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…0c38backed No | 4c | 1,222$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…ab4ebacked No | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…80e7backed No | 1c | 1,140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…4da0backed No | 1c | 1,140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…8c8abacked No | 10c | 1,138$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8b…cf4fbacked No | 3c | 1,054$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…718abacked No | 6c | 1,050$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…183abacked No | 4c | 1,005$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…a78abacked No | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…2f0bbacked No | 4c | 999.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed No | 7c | 999.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 2c | 964.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked No | 6c | 961.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…53c9backed No | 4c | 912.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…b5b5backed No | 3c | 881.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…77f0backed No | 1c | 798.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20e…ebedbacked No | 3c | 758.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…b571backed No | 3c | 672.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…2732backed No | 3c | 612.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…1496backed No | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…4c94backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…0317backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…177ebacked No | 4c | 480$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…525fbacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…daa1backed No | 3c | 399.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…8e90backed No | 3c | 386.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…9a76backed No | 9c | 361.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…769dbacked No | 3c | 361.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…4b67backed No | 3c | 360$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed No | 7c | 336.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…9a8bbacked No | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…7eb0backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8637backed No | 10c | 273.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…af9cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…30e2backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…4673backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…2df4backed No | 9c | 190$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…27fabacked No | 10c | 164.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…b781backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked Yes | 80c | 60.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?this page
- Another country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Great Britain wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.