TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb052…ff06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
346
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2024, EDT8611.6%10 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 27-October 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+91.1%+$13.23
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+3,169.2%+$411.99
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times September 27-October 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+821.1%+$272.78
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.93
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+833.3%+$318.75
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.78
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 20-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+47.8%+$11.32
Will Elon tweet 150-174 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times September 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Elon tweet 125-149 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$116.2
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$108.99
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5315.1%8 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.85
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+502%+$667.1
US military action against Iran in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.75
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.29
Netanyahu out before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.17
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$118.11
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60.38
Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$43.45
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$271.78
Iran Nuke in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$852.65
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$132.9
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$252.19
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+628.3%+$465.74
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+1,290.1%+$1,727.11
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$45.67
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$786
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$76.2
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.34
Israel military action against Yemen before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.23
U.S. military strike on Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.42
Israel declares war on Iran in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.63
Netanyahu out by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.08
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$106.09
Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$86.05
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$655.83
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST529.6%5 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.32
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.26
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.91
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.57
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.83
Will JA21 win 11–12 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: DENK vs BBBbacked BBB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.39
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.24
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.43
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.64
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.59
Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.79
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.78
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.92
Will SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.94
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.34
Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.8
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid+85%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.45
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$602.02
Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$47.99
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$498.09
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$393.89
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.25
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$1,241.05
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$267.4
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$1,391.52
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,308.86
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$514.93
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$306.94
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$74.95
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$150.37
Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$54.31
Will Belarus invade Ukraine before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$61.94
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.55
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$226.32
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.56
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+3,969.7%+$2,952.73
Crimean bridge hit before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.92
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$225.83
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-59.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$91.5
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$54.61
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.13
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will 'The Substance' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.06
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$499.31
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$82.57
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $135-150m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$90.55
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$151.01
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.96
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $31m and $38m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.17
'Speak No Evil' grosses >$13m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2024, EDT+52.1%+$8.91
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$463.82
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$470.39
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$416.69
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$501.67
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+334%+$618.06
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$187.09
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$359.91
All 21 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-88.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.23
Will Ukraine win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.18
Will Azerbaijan win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.93
Will Spain win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Armenia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Georgia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$134.3
Will China win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$59.51
Will the United States win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$55.53
Will China win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$71.43
Will Poland win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.9
Will Iran win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+136.4%+$182.35
Will the United States win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.91
Will Germany win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Poland win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Norway win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will another team win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will England win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Netherlands win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.89
Will Uzbekistan win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.08
Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?backed Hans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$173.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$58.25
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$256.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$65.23
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$76.4
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$30.9
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$36.82
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$668.66
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$33.83
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.76
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+426.3%+$48.6
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$278.05
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+413.5%+$1,071
Fed emergency rate cut in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$494.9
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.88
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.09
Election certified on January 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+327.9%+$583.15
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$13.17
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$11.22
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$21
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$18.8
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Florida legalize weed?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+294.4%+$88.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Léon Marchand win the most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+217.5%+$54.8
China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$122.58
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$152.2
Great Britain wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.72
France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.99
Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.45
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.46
Another country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Japan win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.28
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$205.33
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.45
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$78.54
Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympicsbacked Trump · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2024, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moo Deng be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+37.4%+$25.29
Trump post about a memecoin before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.65
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+331.5%+$873.5
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.3
Base airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.16
Rabby airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.99
pump.fun airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
Puffer airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$112.18
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$74.38
Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$145.52
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.17-1.22°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$19.81
Will the October 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.17°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$17.12
September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.9
2024 September hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$912.98
Megaquake in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.04
Will Francine hit US as a hurricane?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$196
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$648.86
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$470.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$59.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2024 Little League World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.