TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,833,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,593,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,833,228 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c117,546$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.051010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Yes5c104,246$5,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes2c57,573$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc930…9ed4backed Yes2c28,455$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes2c27,798$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7480…65a2backed Yes2c25,204$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435c…8079backed Yes1c25,154$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes1c24,702$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes1c23,181$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686b…05ccbacked Yes1c21,993$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes1c20,087$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes1c19,831$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8270%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…91efbacked Yes1c19,653$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb6…ea33backed Yes1c19,270$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394c…3b71backed Yes2c19,025$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351a…06a7backed Yes1c17,098$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…6993backed Yes3c16,993$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes1c16,515$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c16,441$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.861315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63d4…170fbacked Yes1c16,379$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes2c16,148$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b0c…ac22backed Yes1c16,020$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes2c15,079$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24d…37e8backed Yes2c14,063$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a6…73cdbacked Yes1c12,291$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc369…4e87backed Yes1c11,444$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes2c11,325$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…ff06backed Yes1c11,190$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes1c10,264$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62be…4cdabacked Yes2c10,226$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes2c10,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+90.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a1…7c68backed Yes1c10,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c7…a324backed Yes2c9,533$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b9…9b39backed Yes2c9,529$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+43.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ec…24cfbacked Yes1c9,489$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4527…b107backed Yes2c9,246$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a42…282fbacked Yes1c9,004$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d8…0f48backed Yes1c8,821$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba7…dbd7backed Yes1c8,483$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f91…0df5backed Yes2c8,204$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…ebebbacked Yes1c7,800$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed Yes1c7,500$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f49…ebb1backed Yes1c7,500$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…f83ebacked Yes2c7,333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd10…9337backed Yes1c7,265$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655f…0788backed Yes2c6,961$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…42f0backed Yes2c6,829$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f2…b64dbacked Yes2c6,797$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2069…b8f2backed Yes1c6,662$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes1c6,396$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Yes2c6,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes1c6,086$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1166…94acbacked Yes1c5,928$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc466…7df5backed Yes2c5,371$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…855fbacked Yes1c5,337$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b5…efbfbacked Yes0c5,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4257…7af7backed Yes2c5,263$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes2c5,217$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-77.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50bc…78c2backed Yes2c4,841$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa845…2307backed Yes2c4,600$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a4…a09ebacked Yes1c4,425$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b08…72a6backed Yes1c4,288$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes2c4,212$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3a…db7bbacked Yes2c4,112$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…02aebacked Yes2c4,017$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a54…0465backed Yes2c4,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb1…a443backed Yes1c4,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c4,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…f33dbacked Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b8…60f3backed Yes1c3,885$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d1…ea6bbacked Yes1c3,882$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04e…77dfbacked Yes1c3,857$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c4…7ac5backed Yes1c3,571$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c8…0115backed Yes3c3,506$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3176…b725backed Yes2c3,125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0797…9d32backed Yes2c3,125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7414…8e95backed Yes1c3,093$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes2c3,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ea…0210backed Yes1c2,983$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9640…5f1cbacked Yes2c2,941$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd543…b262backed Yes2c2,941$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50da…6bdcbacked Yes2c2,872$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes1c2,777$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9c…4da1backed Yes1c2,759$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5483…cd6ebacked Yes1c2,670$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…5185backed Yes1c2,647$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c5…88d8backed Yes1c2,643$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…f040backed Yes2c2,561$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Yes1c2,543$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Yes2c2,500$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x065f…ab50backed Yes1c2,499$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…95fbbacked Yes1c2,496$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162a…7159backed Yes2c2,482$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189b…7aa6backed Yes1c2,470$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc2c…3544backed Yes1c2,450$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed Yes1c2,411$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-54.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c2,378$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.245817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c09…0824backed Yes2c2,309$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae65…f3d1backed Yes2c2,301$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.